BRIEFING ON 2021-1

INFLATION REPORT

Naci Ağbal

Governor

28 January 2021 Ankara

Outline

Macroeconomic Outlook

The Determinants of Inflation

Medium Term Projections and Risks

Monetary Policy Strategy

MACROECONOMIC OUTLOOK

Global Growth

Growth Rates* (Annual, %)

PMI (Seasonally Adjusted, Quarterly Change,

Point)

Emerging Economies

Advanced Economies

2020-Q2

2020-Q4

Global GDP

12

4

8

0

-4

4

-8

0

-12

-16

-4

Manufacturing

Services

Manufacturing

Services

-8

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-12

Eurozone

Global (Excluding

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 20

Eurozone)

Sources: Bloomberg, CBRT

Last Observation: 2020 Q3

Source: IHS Markit

Last Observation: December 2020

* Advanced Economies: USA, Euro Area, Japan, UK, Canada, South Korea, Sweden, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Israel.

4

Developing Economies: China, Brazil, India, Mexico, Russia, Turkey, Poland, Indonesia, South Africa, Argentina, Thailand, Malaysia, Czechia, Colombia,

Hungary, Romania, Philippines, Ukraine, Chile, Peru, Morocco.

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Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey published this content on 28 January 2021 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 28 January 2021 08:23:08 UTC.