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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 1,850.00 MXN | +13.26% |
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-.--% | - |
| 06-12 | Jefferies Maintains Buy Rating on URW as Portfolio Rotation Continues |  |
| 06-10 | Jefferies reiterates Buy rating on URW following full takeover of Westfield UTC | |
Projected Income Statement: Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 1,833 | 2,231 | 2,322 | 2,427 | 2,328 | 2,737 | 2,763 | 2,866 |
| Change | - | 21.7% | 4.07% | 4.51% | -4.07% | 17.56% | 0.94% | 3.73% |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,650 | 2,209 | 2,199 | 2,352 | 2,284 | 2,207 | 2,247 | 2,430 |
| Change | - | 33.88% | -0.45% | 6.96% | -2.89% | -3.36% | 1.79% | 8.16% |
| EBIT 1 | 1,641 | 2,152 | 2,148 | 2,311 | 2,241 | 2,190 | 2,226 | 2,354 |
| Change | - | 31.15% | -0.19% | 7.59% | -3.01% | -2.27% | 1.65% | 5.72% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -465.9 | -474 | -436.1 | -466.1 | -446.4 | -546.6 | -582.3 | -618 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -1,024 | 351.2 | -1,771 | 832.9 | 1,852 | 2,001 | 2,165 | 2,454 |
| Change | - | 134.29% | -604.33% | 147.02% | 122.42% | 8% | 8.22% | 13.34% |
| Net income 1 | -972.1 | 178.2 | -1,629 | 146.2 | 1,268 | 1,719 | 1,720 | 1,889 |
| Change | - | 118.33% | -1,014.2% | 108.97% | 767.44% | 35.55% | 0.08% | 9.77% |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/8/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/13/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 25,945 | 22,972 | 21,974 | 22,168 | 18,500 | 20,314 | 20,252 | 20,272 |
| Change | - | -11.46% | -4.34% | 0.88% | -16.55% | 9.81% | -0.31% | 0.1% |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/8/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/13/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 898.7 | 904.8 | 1,181 | 1,308 | 894.9 | 512.3 | 501.7 | 524.1 |
| Change | - | 0.68% | 30.53% | 10.78% | -31.6% | -42.76% | -2.07% | 4.47% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 821.9 | 1,531 | 875.5 | 881.9 | 1,152 | 1,501 | 1,346 | 1,983 |
| Change | - | 86.32% | -42.83% | 0.73% | 30.58% | 30.34% | -10.29% | 47.27% |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/8/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/13/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 90% | 99% | 94.7% | 96.91% | 98.1% | 80.65% | 81.33% | 84.81% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 89.49% | 96.44% | 92.49% | 95.22% | 96.26% | 80.03% | 80.59% | 82.14% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -55.86% | 15.74% | -76.28% | 34.32% | 79.57% | 73.1% | 78.37% | 85.63% |
| Net margin (%) | -53.02% | 7.99% | -70.16% | 6.02% | 54.47% | 62.81% | 62.27% | 65.9% |
| FCF margin (%) | 44.83% | 68.63% | 37.7% | 36.34% | 49.46% | 54.84% | 48.74% | 69.2% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -84.55% | 859.37% | -53.74% | 603.21% | 90.81% | 87.31% | 78.27% | 105% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 1.71% | 2.36% | 2.6% | 2.75% | 2.46% | 2.63% | 2.68% | 2.77% |
| ROE | 5.58% | 6.78% | 7.71% | 8.44% | 7.17% | 8.15% | 7.82% | 7.7% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 15.72x | 10.4x | 9.99x | 9.43x | 8.1x | 9.2x | 9.01x | 8.34x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 31.57x | 15x | 25.1x | 25.14x | 16.06x | 13.53x | 15.04x | 10.22x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 49.02% | 40.55% | 50.86% | 53.91% | 38.44% | 18.72% | 18.16% | 18.29% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 54.47% | 40.96% | 53.71% | 55.62% | 39.18% | 23.21% | 22.33% | 21.56% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 109.34% | 59.08% | 134.89% | 148.35% | 77.71% | 34.13% | 37.26% | 26.43% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 12.42 | 17.56 | 14.8 | 15.52 | 14.07 | 9.947 | 10.34 | 11.35 |
| Change | - | 41.41% | -15.74% | 4.87% | -9.37% | -29.28% | 3.93% | 9.75% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | 2.5 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 5.481 | 6.103 | 6.39 |
| Change | - | - | - | 40% | 28.57% | 21.79% | 11.36% | 4.7% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 122.1 | 137.5 | 124.5 | 120.9 | 119.8 | 118.3 | 125.2 | 140.9 |
| Change | - | 12.56% | -9.4% | -2.91% | -0.96% | -1.22% | 5.87% | 12.53% |
| EPS 1 | -7.02 | 1.28 | -11.72 | 1.04 | 8.72 | 11.25 | 12.35 | 13.81 |
| Change | - | 118.23% | -1,015.62% | 108.87% | 738.46% | 29% | 9.79% | 11.86% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 138,594 | 138,767 | 139,041 | 142,625 | 143,334 | 144,216 | 144,216 | 144,216 |
| Announcement Date | 2/10/22 | 2/8/23 | 2/8/24 | 2/13/25 | 2/12/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 8.95x | 8.15x |
| PBR | 0.85x | 0.8x |
| EV / Sales | 12.7x | 12.6x |
| Yield | 5.44% | 6.06% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Annual profits - Rate of surprise
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