Projected Income Statement: Thaicom

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 937 -3,692 -1,543 -492 397 696 3,860 -
Change - -494.02% 58.21% 68.11% 180.69% 75.18% 454.6% -
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/8/24 2/7/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 72.24 61.29 1,472 2,319 2,292 2,518 3,433 482.5
Change - -15.16% 2,300.94% 57.6% -1.16% 9.84% 36.34% -85.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,152 1,941 -464.6 -1,217 -1,439 -954 -2,692 692
Change - 68.5% -123.93% -161.95% -18.24% 33.71% -182.13% 125.71%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/8/24 2/7/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36% 35.75% 34.23% 24.03% 32.72% 32.81% 36.97% 48.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.09% 15.71% 9.48% -0.87% 5.25% -10.8% 4.86% 20.7%
EBT Margin (%) 7.02% 6.42% 18.73% 4.78% 5.62% 0.14% 7.43% -
Net margin (%) 4.35% 1.36% 13.46% -0.95% 1.62% 4.66% 4.4% 9.21%
FCF margin (%) 34.89% 62.71% -17.69% -50.44% -58.17% -45.8% -92.11% 24.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) 802.15% 4,599.38% -131.38% 5,329.47% -3,597.61% -983.51% -2,091.84% 264.12%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.9% 0.28% 2.44% -0.16% 0.25% 3% 0.85% 2.2%
ROE 1.28% 0.39% 3.4% -0.23% 3.99% 5.1% 1.47% 2.55%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.79x - - - 0.49x 1.02x 3.57x -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.81x - - - -0.28x -0.73x -1.43x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.19% 1.98% 56.03% 96.12% 92.66% 120.88% 117.49% 16.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 6.08% 5.54% 163.68% 399.96% 283.21% 368.49% 317.77% 34.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.27% 3.16% -316.72% -190.56% -159.3% -263.94% -127.55% 69.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.117 1.827 0.9186 1.006 - - - -
Change - 63.57% -49.73% 9.46% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.5 0.13 - - 0.035 0.0333 -
Change - - -74% - - - -4.77% -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.15 9.629 9.334 9.14 9.2 9.145 9.3 -
Change - -5.17% -3.06% -2.08% 0.66% -0.6% 1.69% -
EPS 1 0.13 0.04 0.32 -0.02 0.04 0.23 0.1167 0.235
Change - -69.23% 700% -106.25% 300% 475% -49.27% 101.42%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/8/24 2/7/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 48.7x 96x
PBR 1.22x 1.2x
EV / Sales 6.23x 5.52x
Yield 0.31% 0.3%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
11.20THB
Average target price
12.36THB
Spread / Average Target
+10.38%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise