Projected Income Statement: Thaicom

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 937 -3,692 -1,543 -492 397 556 3,645 -
Change - -494.02% 58.21% 68.11% 180.69% 39.94% 555.58% -
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/8/24 2/7/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 72.24 61.29 1,472 2,319 2,292 3,009 3,433 482.5
Change - -15.16% 2,300.94% 57.6% -1.16% 31.26% 14.09% -85.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,152 1,941 -464.6 -1,217 -1,439 -1,417 -2,538 714
Change - 68.5% -123.93% -161.95% -18.24% 1.53% -79.11% 128.13%
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/8/24 2/7/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thaicom

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 36% 35.75% 34.23% 24.03% 32.72% 32.71% 37.81% 47.16%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.09% 15.71% 9.48% -0.87% 5.25% 3.6% 8.25% 22.71%
EBT Margin (%) 7.02% 6.42% 18.73% 4.78% 5.62% 8.8% 11.9% -
Net margin (%) 4.35% 1.36% 13.46% -0.95% 1.62% 8.44% 7.18% 8.86%
FCF margin (%) 34.89% 62.71% -17.69% -50.44% -58.17% -51.55% -83.22% 23.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 802.15% 4,599.38% -131.38% 5,329.47% -3,597.61% -610.78% -1,158.9% 261.54%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.9% 0.28% 2.44% -0.16% 0.25% 2.5% 1.55% 2.3%
ROE 1.28% 0.39% 3.4% -0.23% 3.99% 4.35% 2.3% 2.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.79x - - - 0.49x 0.62x 3.16x -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.81x - - - -0.28x -0.39x -1.44x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.19% 1.98% 56.03% 96.12% 92.66% 109.46% 112.57% 15.65%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 6.08% 5.54% 163.68% 399.96% 283.21% 334.58% 297.75% 33.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 6.27% 3.16% -316.72% -190.56% -159.3% -212.35% -135.26% 67.58%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.117 1.827 0.9186 1.006 - - - -
Change - 63.57% -49.73% 9.46% - - - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.5 0.13 - - 0.035 0.0333 -
Change - - -74% - - - -4.77% -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.15 9.629 9.334 9.14 9.2 9.4 9.6 -
Change - -5.17% -3.06% -2.08% 0.66% 2.17% 2.13% -
EPS 1 0.13 0.04 0.32 -0.02 0.04 0.41 0.2 0.245
Change - -69.23% 700% -106.25% 300% 925% -51.22% 22.5%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102 1,096,102
Announcement Date 2/4/22 2/10/23 2/8/24 2/7/25 2/10/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 27.8x 57x
PBR 1.21x 1.19x
EV / Sales 4.75x 5.29x
Yield 0.31% 0.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
11.40THB
Average target price
14.06THB
Spread / Average Target
+23.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise