Projected Income Statement: TF1

Forecast Balance Sheet: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -135 -326 -505 -506 -515 -383 -347 -253
Change - -141.48% -54.91% -0.2% -1.78% 25.57% 9.4% 27.09%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/15/23 2/15/24 2/13/25 2/13/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 324.5 312.2 297.8 279.9 379.8 325 330 -
Change - -3.79% -4.61% -6.01% 35.69% -14.43% 1.54% -100%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 318 151.1 328.8 195.1 76.9 -4.5 - -
Change - -52.48% 117.6% -40.66% -60.58% -105.85% 100% -
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/15/23 2/15/24 2/13/25 2/13/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TF1

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 29.43% 30.39% 27.54% 29.71% 28.97% 25.71% 25.56% 26.5%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.14% 12.61% 12.31% 12.27% 10.53% 7.16% 6.67% 8.1%
EBT Margin (%) 13.3% 11.44% 11.13% 11.84% 10.27% 6.63% 6.17% 3.67%
Net margin (%) 9.28% 7.02% 8.36% 8.74% 6.65% 4.55% 4.74% 5.47%
FCF margin (%) 13.1% 6.03% 14.32% 8.28% 3.35% -0.2% - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 141.15% 85.8% 171.34% 94.71% 50.33% -4.46% - -

Profitability

        
ROA 6.59% 4.78% 5.87% 5.81% 4.17% 2.75% 2.94% 0.82%
ROE 13.84% 9.7% 11.24% 10.96% 7.75% 5% 4.95% 4.38%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.37% 12.45% 12.97% 11.88% 16.54% 14.68% 14.67% -
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 45.44% 40.97% 47.09% 39.99% 57.09% 57.09% 57.38% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 102.04% 206.62% 90.57% 143.46% 493.89% -7,222.22% - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.053 2.201 2.971 2.252 2.163 1.949 2.007 2.059
Change - -27.91% 35% -24.23% -3.94% -9.9% 2.98% 2.62%
Dividend per Share 1 0.45 0.5 0.55 0.6 0.63 0.6506 0.6764 0.7233
Change - 11.11% 10% 9.09% 5% 3.27% 3.97% 6.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.402 8.85 9.265 9.691 9.748 9.66 9.51 9.1
Change - 5.34% 4.68% 4.6% 0.59% -0.9% -1.55% -4.31%
EPS 1 1.07 0.83 0.91 0.97 0.72 0.4922 0.5147 0.6421
Change - -22.43% 9.64% 6.59% -25.77% -31.64% 4.57% 24.76%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 210,486 210,486 210,898 211,022 210,925 210,240 210,240 210,240
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/15/23 2/15/24 2/13/25 2/13/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.6x 13x
PBR 0.69x 0.7x
EV / Sales 0.46x 0.47x
Yield 9.75% 10.1%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
6.670EUR
Average target price
8.017EUR
Spread / Average Target
+20.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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