Projected Income Statement: Swire Properties Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,334 18,947 36,679 43,746 39,540 39,330 40,086 40,022
Change - 83.35% 93.59% 19.27% -9.61% -0.53% 1.92% -0.16%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 4,040 7,229 2,988 4,445 2,140 7,817 5,572 1,975
Change - 78.94% -58.67% 48.76% -51.86% 265.3% -28.73% -64.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,005 -2,473 2,457 -683 5,331 6,689 7,230 8,704
Change - -346.07% 199.35% -127.8% 880.53% 25.47% 8.09% 20.38%
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Swire Properties Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 63.82% 66.22% 56.91% 59.14% 56.77% 52.82% 51.91% 51.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 61.58% 59.47% 53.93% 56.12% 53.6% 49.7% 48.3% 51.83%
EBT Margin (%) 58.21% 74.44% 29.78% 10.65% -1.58% 53.93% 53.29% 57.46%
Net margin (%) 44.81% 57.72% 17.98% -5.31% -9.56% 44.22% 42.63% 48.17%
FCF margin (%) 6.32% -17.89% 16.75% -4.73% 33.23% 37.12% 39.24% 44.6%
FCF / Net Income (%) 14.11% -30.99% 93.17% 89.16% -347.75% 83.94% 92.04% 92.58%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.1% 2.36% 2.11% 1.83% 1.77% 2.28% 2.31% 2.64%
ROE 2.45% 2.75% 2.54% 2.35% 2.3% 2.96% 3.03% 3.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.02x 2.07x 4.39x 5.13x 4.34x 4.13x 4.19x 3.97x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.28x -7.66x 14.93x -64.05x 7.42x 5.88x 5.54x 4.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 25.42% 52.29% 20.37% 30.81% 13.34% 43.39% 30.24% 10.12%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.84% 78.95% 35.79% 52.09% 23.5% 82.14% 58.25% 19.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 401.99% -292.32% 121.61% -650.81% 40.14% 116.87% 77.06% 22.69%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.8624 0.813 0.9308 0.6436 1.295 1.472 1.626 1.067
Change - -5.73% 14.49% -30.86% 101.23% 13.67% 10.46% -34.39%
Dividend per Share 1 0.95 1 1.05 1.1 1.15 1.204 1.26 1.318
Change - 5.26% 5% 4.76% 4.55% 4.73% 4.64% 4.62%
Book Value Per Share 1 49.94 49.44 48.73 47.1 - 46.78 46.86 46.94
Change - -1% -1.43% -3.35% - - 0.17% 0.18%
EPS 1 1.22 1.36 0.45 -0.13 -0.27 1.419 1.452 1.597
Change - 11.48% -66.91% -128.89% -107.69% 625.46% 2.38% 9.93%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,850,000 5,802,221 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485 5,757,485
Announcement Date 3/10/22 3/9/23 3/14/24 3/13/25 3/12/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.8x 14.5x
PBR 0.45x 0.45x
EV / Sales 8.89x 8.74x
Yield 5.74% 6%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
21.00HKD
Average target price
29.02HKD
Spread / Average Target
+38.17%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 1972 Stock
  4. Financials Swire Properties Limited