Projected Income Statement: Sweco AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sweco AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 913 1,075 5,537 5,122 5,093 3,751 2,077 368
Change - 17.74% 415.07% -7.5% -0.57% -26.35% -44.63% -82.28%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/9/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/11/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sweco AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 231 302 358 374 417 451.3 471.7 496
Change - 30.74% 18.54% 4.47% 11.5% 8.23% 4.51% 5.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,968 2,213 2,146 3,688 3,594 2,845 3,157 3,311
Change - 12.45% -3.03% 71.85% -2.55% -20.84% 10.97% 4.86%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/9/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/11/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sweco AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 10.53% 10.21% 9.86% 11.03% 11.59% 13.93% 14.34% 14.48%
EBIT Margin (%) 9.06% 9.24% 8.47% 9.83% 10.14% 10.47% 11.07% 11.27%
EBT Margin (%) 8.71% 8.87% 7.64% 8.95% 9.45% 9.88% 10.58% 10.82%
Net margin (%) 6.85% 6.8% 5.84% 6.75% 7.05% 7.47% 8.08% 8.27%
FCF margin (%) 9.03% 9.11% 7.52% 12.02% 11.38% 8.43% 8.84% 8.85%
FCF / Net Income (%) 131.9% 133.96% 128.73% 178.08% 161.46% 112.82% 109.47% 107.02%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.53% 7.95% 7.03% 7.7% - - - -
ROE 18.5% 17.8% 16.2% 18.4% 18.3% 19.35% 19.97% 19.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.4x 0.43x 1.97x 1.51x 1.39x 0.8x 0.41x 0.07x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.46x 0.49x 2.58x 1.39x 1.42x 1.32x 0.66x 0.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.06% 1.24% 1.26% 1.22% 1.32% 1.34% 1.32% 1.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 10.07% 12.17% 12.74% 11.05% 11.39% 9.59% 9.21% 9.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.74% 13.65% 16.68% 10.14% 11.6% 15.86% 14.94% 14.98%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.151 7 6.977 11.3 11.13 7.8 8.5 9
Change - 13.81% -0.33% 61.91% -1.48% -29.92% 8.97% 5.88%
Dividend per Share 1 2.45 2.7 2.95 3.3 3.7 3.974 4.358 4.692
Change - 10.2% 9.26% 11.86% 12.12% 7.41% 9.66% 7.66%
Book Value Per Share 1 24.04 27.71 29.37 32.97 54.51 37.94 41.95 46.2
Change - 15.27% 5.99% 12.26% 65.33% -30.41% 10.58% 10.15%
EPS 1 4.18 4.61 4.65 5.75 6.16 6.942 7.931 8.495
Change - 10.29% 0.87% 23.66% 7.13% 12.7% 14.24% 7.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 357,485 358,619 359,141 359,778 360,664 360,796 360,796 360,796
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/9/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/11/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19x 16.6x
PBR 3.48x 3.14x
EV / Sales 1.52x 1.39x
Yield 3.01% 3.3%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
131.90SEK
Average target price
177.00SEK
Spread / Average Target
+34.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise