Projected Income Statement: Sodexo

Forecast Balance Sheet: Sodexo

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,478 1,268 4,399 2,600 2,687 3,147 3,039 2,912
Change - -14.21% 246.92% -40.9% 3.35% 17.12% -3.43% -4.18%
Announcement Date 10/27/21 10/26/22 10/26/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Sodexo

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 211 341 463 469 484 555.2 626.9 651.7
Change - 61.61% 35.78% 1.3% 3.2% 14.72% 12.9% 3.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 483 631 812 851 505 228.2 265 340.3
Change - 30.64% 28.68% 4.8% -40.66% -54.81% 16.1% 28.43%
Announcement Date 10/27/21 10/26/22 10/26/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Sodexo

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.76% 7.49% 7.56% 6.48% 6.62% 5.36% 5.65% 5.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.32% 5.01% 5.63% 4.66% 4.73% 3.31% 3.61% 3.94%
EBT Margin (%) 1.36% 4.58% 4.49% 4.19% 3.76% 1.54% 2.35% 2.82%
Net margin (%) 0.8% 3.29% 3.35% 0.71% 2.89% 1.05% 1.75% 2.1%
FCF margin (%) 2.77% 2.99% 3.42% 3.58% 2.1% 0.96% 1.08% 1.34%
FCF / Net Income (%) 347.48% 90.79% 102.27% 506.55% 72.66% 91.7% 61.28% 63.64%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.76% 3.48% 3.81% 4.33% 4.65% 2.4% 2.98% 3.51%
ROE 4.69% 18.33% 17.73% 18.62% 18.37% 12.38% 13.37% 14.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.25x 0.8x 2.45x 1.69x 1.69x 2.47x 2.19x 1.91x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.06x 2.01x 5.42x 3.06x 5.32x 13.79x 11.47x 8.56x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.21% 1.61% 1.95% 1.97% 2.01% 2.33% 2.54% 2.56%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.9% 21.55% 25.82% 30.4% 30.38% 43.51% 45.07% 42.77%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 43.69% 54.04% 57.02% 55.11% 95.84% 243.31% 236.6% 191.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.641 6.99 9.316 9.013 6.602 4.817 6.02 6.642
Change - 5.26% 33.28% -3.25% -26.75% -27.04% 24.98% 10.32%
Dividend per Share 1 2 2.4 3.1 2.65 2.7 1.718 1.776 2.056
Change - 20% 29.17% -14.52% 1.89% -36.38% 3.39% 15.78%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.48 29.94 30.8 25.84 25.68 25.99 26.93 28.79
Change - 39.36% 2.88% -16.13% -0.62% 1.21% 3.62% 6.9%
EPS 1 0.94 4.69 5.38 1.13 4.71 1.764 2.98 3.624
Change - 398.94% 14.71% -79% 316.81% -62.55% 68.93% 21.61%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 145,930 146,205 145,982 146,372 145,951 145,841 145,841 145,841
Announcement Date 10/27/21 10/26/22 10/26/23 10/24/24 10/23/25 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 30x 17.8x
PBR 2.04x 1.97x
EV / Sales 0.46x 0.44x
Yield 3.24% 3.35%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
52.95EUR
Average target price
48.42EUR
Spread / Average Target
-8.55%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise