Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -1,994 -6,443 -14,354
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% 41.02% -223.12% -122.78%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 884.4 919.3 993.6
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 19.68% 3.94% 8.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,067 11,472 13,083
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 22.19% 13.96% 14.04%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 32.03% 32.92% 33.99%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.69% 30.61% 31.56%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.36% 29.75% 32.12%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 19.96% 20.71% 21.97%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 25.06% 25.59% 26.11%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 125.59% 123.58% 118.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.55% 12.72% 13.39%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 18.66% 20.35% 21.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.2% 2.05% 1.98%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 6.87% 6.23% 5.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 8.79% 8.01% 7.59%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.386 10.85 12.99
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 20.46% 15.62% 19.7%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 - 2.68 3.045 3.451
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% - - 13.62% 13.33%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 38.75 41.88 48.43
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 0.97% 8.06% 15.65%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.151 8.358 10.14
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 13.86% 16.89% 21.26%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,167,559 1,167,559 1,167,559
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.2x 16.5x
PBR 3.55x 3.29x
EV / Sales 3.95x 3.44x
Yield 1.95% 2.21%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
137.58EUR
Average target price
210.88EUR
Spread / Average Target
+53.28%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise