Projected Income Statement: SAP SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -8,691 -18,079 -21,837
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% -157.05% -108.02% -20.79%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 927.6 987 1,164
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 25.52% 6.4% 17.91%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 9,998 11,190 12,265
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 21.35% 11.93% 9.6%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 32.78% 33.5% 34.36%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.59% 30.51% 31.67%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.96% 30.09% 31.8%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.37% 21.16% 21.97%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 24.9% 24.73% 24.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 122.21% 116.88% 111.22%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.31% 12.17% 12.92%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 18.14% 19.45% 20.59%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 2.31% 2.18% 2.32%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 7.05% 6.51% 6.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 9.28% 8.82% 9.49%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.292 10.98 12.71
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 19.25% 18.15% 15.74%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 - 2.694 3.043 3.451
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% - - 12.93% 13.43%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 41.49 45.8 50.16
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 8.1% 10.39% 9.51%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.136 8.436 9.84
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 13.63% 18.21% 16.65%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,167,559 1,167,559 1,167,559
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.8x 15.9x
PBR 3.23x 2.93x
EV / Sales 3.68x 3.06x
Yield 2.01% 2.27%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
27
Last Close Price
134.14EUR
Average target price
214.81EUR
Spread / Average Target
+60.14%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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