Projected Income Statement: SAP

Forecast Balance Sheet: SAP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,914 4,509 -1,792 -1,695 -3,381 -1,946 -7,551 -14,734
Change - 15.2% -139.74% 5.41% -99.47% 42.44% -288.03% -95.13%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: SAP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 825 874 785 797 739 775 979.6 1,167
Change - 5.94% -10.18% 1.53% -7.28% 4.87% 26.4% 19.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,010 4,348 5,530 4,113 8,239 10,084 11,434 12,833
Change - -13.21% 27.18% -25.62% 100.32% 22.39% 13.39% 12.24%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: SAP

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.93% 32.16% 32.35% 27.6% 31.88% 31.68% 32.7% 33.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.56% 26.02% 27.95% 23.86% 28.31% 29.36% 30.32% 31.17%
EBT Margin (%) 24.6% 10.02% 16.96% 13.94% 28.48% 28.3% 29.23% 30.58%
Net margin (%) 19.33% 5.55% 11.42% 9.14% 20.36% 20.4% 20.64% 21.58%
FCF margin (%) 17.99% 14.08% 17.72% 12.03% 22.39% 25.08% 25.44% 25.47%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.07% 253.68% 155.16% 131.66% 109.97% 122.9% 123.25% 118.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.87% 6.35% 8.32% 7.42% 9.91% 11.28% 12.08% 12.97%
ROE 24.3% 11.52% 14.03% 11.93% 15.89% 17.78% 19.65% 20.76%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.39x 0.45x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.78x 1.04x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.96% 2.83% 2.52% 2.33% 2.01% 1.93% 2.18% 2.32%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.25% 8.8% 7.78% 8.45% 6.3% 6.08% 6.67% 6.9%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 16.47% 20.1% 14.2% 19.38% 8.97% 7.69% 8.57% 9.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.261 4.805 5.352 4.477 7.792 9.59 11.01 13.24
Change - -8.67% 11.38% -16.35% 74.06% 23.07% 14.86% 20.18%
Dividend per Share 1 1.95 2.05 2.2 2.35 2.5 2.747 3.048 3.473
Change - 5.13% 7.32% 6.82% 6.38% 9.89% 10.97% 13.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 33.02 34.3 36.95 38.97 38.38 39.54 42.29 48.25
Change - 3.9% 7.7% 5.48% -1.51% 3.02% 6.96% 14.1%
EPS 1 4.46 1.96 3.05 2.65 6.28 7.032 8.109 9.534
Change - -56.05% 55.61% -13.11% 136.98% 11.97% 15.31% 17.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,179,579 1,164,814 1,164,184 1,163,363 1,164,600 1,154,200 1,154,200 1,154,200
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/23/24 1/28/25 1/29/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 18.2x 15.8x
PBR 3.25x 3.03x
EV / Sales 3.63x 3.13x
Yield 2.14% 2.38%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
128.32EUR
Average target price
200.94EUR
Spread / Average Target
+56.60%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise