Projected Income Statement: Phillips 66

Forecast Balance Sheet: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 11,301 11,057 16,036 18,324 18,600 15,763 13,315 10,039
Change - -2.16% 45.03% 14.27% 1.51% -15.25% -15.53% -24.6%
Announcement Date 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,860 2,194 2,418 1,859 2,233 2,344 2,306 2,249
Change - 17.96% 10.21% -23.12% 20.12% 4.97% -1.64% -2.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 4,157 8,619 4,611 2,332 2,729 9,310 8,983 6,216
Change - 107.34% -46.5% -49.43% 17.02% 241.16% -3.52% -30.8%
Announcement Date 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Phillips 66

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.48% 8.59% 8.45% 4.99% 6.12% 9.36% 9.03% 8.59%
EBIT Margin (%) 2.02% 8.68% 6.92% 2.46% 4.73% 7.66% 7.11% 6.59%
EBT Margin (%) 1.51% 8.33% 6.32% 1.84% 3.97% 7.27% 6.79% 7.01%
Net margin (%) 1.15% 6.27% 4.68% 1.46% 3.22% 5.54% 5.1% 5.61%
FCF margin (%) 3.62% 4.91% 3.08% 1.6% 2% 6.02% 6.29% 4.47%
FCF / Net Income (%) 315.64% 78.18% 65.73% 110.16% 61.98% 108.53% 123.45% 79.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 4.57% 13.48% 9.23% 2.86% 3.6% 9.8% 8.1% -
ROE 13.22% 36.58% 23.85% 8.98% 9.32% 24.21% 19.45% 15.61%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.8x 0.73x 1.27x 2.53x 2.22x 1.09x 1.03x 0.84x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.72x 1.28x 3.48x 7.86x 6.82x 1.69x 1.48x 1.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.62% 1.25% 1.61% 1.28% 1.64% 1.51% 1.61% 1.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.57% 14.54% 19.08% 25.63% 26.7% 16.18% 17.89% 18.81%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 44.74% 25.46% 52.44% 79.72% 81.82% 25.18% 25.67% 36.18%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 8.852 22.68 19.51 9.934 15.05 27.17 27.2 25.37
Change - 156.24% -13.96% -49.09% 51.55% 80.45% 0.14% -6.74%
Dividend per Share 1 3.64 3.83 4.2 4.5 4.75 5.045 5.262 5.374
Change - 5.22% 9.66% 7.14% 5.56% 6.21% 4.29% 2.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 43.76 63.31 71.48 67.11 72.53 83.51 92.6 100.2
Change - 44.69% 12.91% -6.12% 8.07% 15.15% 10.88% 8.25%
EPS 1 2.97 23.27 15.48 4.99 10.79 22.85 20.7 22.8
Change - 683.5% -33.48% -67.76% 116.23% 111.77% -9.41% 10.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 438,202 472,632 439,956 412,989 402,921 400,935 400,935 400,935
Announcement Date 1/28/22 1/31/23 1/31/24 1/31/25 2/4/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.26x 10.2x
PBR 2.53x 2.29x
EV / Sales 0.65x 0.69x
Yield 2.38% 2.49%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
20
Last Close Price
211.68USD
Average target price
205.47USD
Spread / Average Target
-2.93%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise