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Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 12.75 EUR | -0.39% |
|
-1.92% | +36.22% |
| 07-02 | Australia orders in-depth review of Exxon-opposed Subsea7-Saipem merger | RE |
| 07-01 | Brazil's Petrobras lowers jet fuel prices by 14.5% | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 452,668 | 641,256 | 509,987 | 527,918 | 470,950 | 567,014 | 541,333 | 524,808 |
| Change | - | 41.66% | -20.47% | 3.52% | -10.79% | 20.4% | -4.53% | -3.05% |
| EBITDA 1 | 234,576 | 340,482 | 261,016 | 264,987 | 231,111 | 293,580 | 281,012 | 273,359 |
| Change | - | 45.15% | -23.34% | 1.52% | -12.78% | 27.03% | -4.28% | -2.72% |
| EBIT 1 | 171,528 | 272,280 | 194,883 | 192,922 | 151,135 | 211,509 | 189,156 | 178,198 |
| Change | - | 58.74% | -28.43% | -1.01% | -21.66% | 39.95% | -10.57% | -5.79% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -59,256 | -18,040 | -11,861 | -23,356 | -14,911 | -14,258 | -14,763 | -14,062 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 151,575 | 274,998 | 176,269 | 64,344 | 141,478 | 194,080 | 166,604 | 159,162 |
| Change | - | 81.43% | -35.9% | -63.5% | 119.88% | 37.18% | -14.16% | -4.47% |
| Net income 1 | 106,668 | 188,328 | 123,920 | 43,473 | 103,668 | 131,012 | 113,794 | 107,439 |
| Change | - | 76.56% | -34.2% | -64.92% | 138.46% | 26.38% | -13.14% | -5.58% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 265,778 | 224,510 | 227,799 | 304,800 | 319,931 | 286,954 | 266,804 | 253,171 |
| Change | - | -15.53% | 1.46% | 33.8% | 4.96% | -10.31% | -7.02% | -5.11% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 34,134 | 49,656 | 62,297 | 85,442 | 103,071 | 91,645 | 93,960 | 94,933 |
| Change | - | 45.47% | 25.46% | 37.15% | 20.63% | -11.09% | 2.53% | 1.03% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 168,992 | 205,754 | 159,925 | 136,180 | 87,257 | 123,736 | 102,263 | 95,563 |
| Change | - | 21.75% | -22.27% | -14.85% | -35.92% | 41.81% | -17.35% | -6.55% |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Petrobras
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 51.82% | 53.1% | 51.18% | 50.19% | 49.07% | 51.78% | 51.91% | 52.09% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 37.89% | 42.46% | 38.21% | 36.54% | 32.09% | 37.3% | 34.94% | 33.95% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 33.48% | 42.88% | 34.56% | 12.19% | 30.04% | 34.23% | 30.78% | 30.33% |
| Net margin (%) | 23.56% | 29.37% | 24.3% | 8.23% | 22.01% | 23.11% | 21.02% | 20.47% |
| FCF margin (%) | 37.33% | 32.09% | 31.36% | 25.8% | 18.53% | 21.82% | 18.89% | 18.21% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 158.43% | 109.25% | 129.05% | 313.25% | 84.17% | 94.45% | 89.87% | 88.95% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.88% | 19.32% | 12.29% | 9.72% | 8.97% | 10.44% | 8.91% | 8.73% |
| ROE | 30.66% | 50.23% | 33.54% | 28.14% | 29.04% | 28.01% | 20.69% | 17.96% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.13x | 0.66x | 0.87x | 1.15x | 1.38x | 0.98x | 0.95x | 0.93x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 1.57x | 1.09x | 1.42x | 2.24x | 3.67x | 2.32x | 2.61x | 2.65x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.54% | 7.74% | 12.22% | 16.18% | 21.89% | 16.16% | 17.36% | 18.09% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 14.55% | 14.58% | 23.87% | 32.24% | 44.6% | 31.22% | 33.44% | 34.73% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 20.2% | 24.13% | 38.95% | 62.74% | 118.12% | 74.07% | 91.88% | 99.34% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 15.57 | 19.58 | 16.56 | 15.82 | 14.77 | 16.08 | 15.5 | 16.25 |
| Change | - | 25.74% | -15.41% | -4.5% | -6.65% | 8.87% | -3.59% | 4.84% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 8.534 | 15.09 | 5.569 | 5.734 | 3.199 | 5.146 | 5.708 | 6.051 |
| Change | - | 76.82% | -63.09% | 2.96% | -44.21% | 60.84% | 10.93% | 5.99% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 29.69 | 27.8 | 29.4 | 28.4 | 30.96 | 38.35 | 42.68 | 46.55 |
| Change | - | -6.39% | 5.77% | -3.41% | 9.01% | 23.9% | 11.29% | 9.06% |
| EPS 1 | 8.18 | 14.44 | 9.57 | 2.84 | 8.026 | 12.07 | 8.909 | 8.632 |
| Change | - | 76.53% | -33.73% | -70.32% | 182.59% | 50.39% | -26.19% | -3.1% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 13,044,201 | 13,044,201 | 13,015,466 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 | 12,888,733 |
| Announcement Date | 2/24/22 | 3/2/23 | 3/8/24 | 2/26/25 | 3/6/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 3.17x | 4.29x |
| PBR | 1x | 0.9x |
| EV / Sales | 1.43x | 1.46x |
| Yield | 13.5% | 14.9% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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