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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
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| 06-26 | BofA Says Pandora Starting to See EPS Cycle Inflection; Rating Double Upgraded | MT |
| 06-26 | U.S. Futures Mixed, European Stocks Fall | DJ |
Projected Income Statement: Pandora
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 23,394 | 26,463 | 28,100 | 31,680 | 32,549 | 32,855 | 34,246 | 35,955 |
| Change | - | 13.12% | 6.19% | 12.74% | 2.74% | 0.94% | 4.23% | 4.99% |
| EBITDA 1 | 7,838 | 8,716 | 9,118 | 10,327 | 10,316 | 9,853 | 7,853 | 9,224 |
| Change | - | 11.2% | 4.61% | 13.26% | -0.11% | -4.49% | -20.3% | 17.46% |
| EBIT 1 | 5,839 | 6,743 | 7,000 | 7,974 | 7,783 | 7,120 | 4,865 | 6,256 |
| Change | - | 15.48% | 3.81% | 13.91% | -2.4% | -8.52% | -31.67% | 28.58% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -461 | -210 | -805 | -1,048 | -870 | -1,025 | -967.5 | -933.6 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 5,378 | 6,533 | 6,234 | 6,926 | 6,913 | 6,103 | 3,886 | 5,345 |
| Change | - | 21.48% | -4.58% | 11.1% | -0.19% | -11.72% | -36.32% | 37.53% |
| Net income 1 | 4,160 | 5,029 | 4,740 | 5,227 | 5,241 | 4,578 | 2,956 | 3,973 |
| Change | - | 20.89% | -5.75% | 10.27% | 0.27% | -12.66% | -35.43% | 34.42% |
| Announcement Date | 2/9/22 | 2/8/23 | 1/7/24 | 2/4/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Pandora
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 2,882 | 6,794 | 9,770 | 11,008 | 13,719 | 13,543 | 13,086 | 12,160 |
| Change | - | 135.74% | 43.8% | 12.67% | 24.63% | -1.28% | -3.37% | -7.08% |
| Announcement Date | 2/9/22 | 2/8/23 | 1/7/24 | 2/4/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Pandora
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 585 | 1,191 | 1,488 | 1,679 | 1,911 | 2,226 | 2,035 | 1,985 |
| Change | - | 103.59% | 24.94% | 12.84% | 13.82% | 16.5% | -8.6% | -2.43% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 5,643 | 3,243 | 5,896 | 7,042 | 5,450 | 2,949 | 3,456 | 5,323 |
| Change | - | -42.53% | 81.81% | 19.44% | -22.61% | -45.9% | 17.21% | 54.01% |
| Announcement Date | 2/9/22 | 2/8/23 | 1/7/24 | 2/4/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Pandora
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 33.5% | 32.94% | 32.45% | 32.6% | 31.69% | 29.99% | 22.93% | 25.65% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 24.96% | 25.48% | 24.91% | 25.17% | 23.91% | 21.67% | 14.21% | 17.4% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 22.99% | 24.69% | 22.19% | 21.86% | 21.24% | 18.57% | 11.35% | 14.87% |
| Net margin (%) | 17.78% | 19% | 16.87% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.93% | 8.63% | 11.05% |
| FCF margin (%) | 24.12% | 12.25% | 20.98% | 22.23% | 16.74% | 8.97% | 10.09% | 14.8% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 135.65% | 64.49% | 124.39% | 134.72% | 103.99% | 64.41% | 116.94% | 133.98% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 21.6% | 24.8% | 20.69% | 20.28% | 18.27% | 16.93% | 9.88% | 12.9% |
| ROE | 57.82% | 70.99% | 75.71% | 96.23% | 97.15% | 67.18% | 33.72% | 39.4% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.37x | 0.78x | 1.07x | 1.07x | 1.33x | 1.37x | 1.67x | 1.32x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.51x | 2.09x | 1.66x | 1.56x | 2.52x | 4.59x | 3.79x | 2.28x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.87% | 6.78% | 5.94% | 5.52% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 7.46% | 13.66% | 16.32% | 16.26% | 18.52% | 22.6% | 25.91% | 21.52% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 10.37% | 36.73% | 25.24% | 23.84% | 35.06% | 75.51% | 58.88% | 37.3% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 62.48 | 47.32 | 85.78 | 107.8 | 95.36 | 66.32 | 65.31 | 81.91 |
| Change | - | -24.26% | 81.26% | 25.65% | -11.52% | -30.45% | -1.53% | 25.41% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 22 | 20.29 | 16.71 | 20 |
| Change | - | 0% | 0% | 25% | 10% | -7.79% | -17.64% | 19.71% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 73.13 | 80.17 | 65.14 | 69.88 | 68.43 | 106.2 | 121.4 | 151.5 |
| Change | - | 9.63% | -18.75% | 7.28% | -2.08% | 55.26% | 14.26% | 24.77% |
| EPS 1 | 41.7 | 53.7 | 55.1 | 64.6 | 67.9 | 60.36 | 38.45 | 52.52 |
| Change | - | 28.78% | 2.61% | 17.24% | 5.11% | -11.1% | -36.31% | 36.62% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 95,851 | 89,522 | 82,242 | 78,830 | 74,617 | 70,570 | 70,570 | 70,570 |
| Announcement Date | 2/9/22 | 2/8/23 | 1/7/24 | 2/4/25 | 2/4/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 12.3x | 19.3x |
| PBR | 7x | 6.12x |
| EV / Sales | 2.01x | 1.91x |
| Yield | 2.73% | 2.25% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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