Projected Income Statement: Ovintiv Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ovintiv Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,591 3,565 5,734 5,411 5,167 3,030 2,642 2,561
Change - -22.35% 60.84% -5.63% -4.51% -41.36% -12.81% -3.07%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 2/23/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ovintiv Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,519 1,831 2,744 2,303 2,147 2,306 2,264 2,266
Change - 20.54% 49.86% -16.07% -6.77% 7.41% -1.82% 0.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,690 2,279 1,155 1,739 1,638 2,497 2,109 2,046
Change - 34.85% -49.32% 50.56% -5.81% 52.42% -15.53% -3%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 2/23/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ovintiv Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 37.29% 34.04% 41.3% 48.89% 47.73% 53.72% 54.57% 54.81%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.55% 24.97% 26.32% 17.25% 12.7% 20.16% 30.66% 30.76%
EBT Margin (%) 14.31% 28.56% 23.06% 14.76% 8.64% 13.54% 28.96% 30.46%
Net margin (%) 16.35% 29.18% 19.16% 12.29% 13.94% 10.47% 21.83% 22.11%
FCF margin (%) 19.52% 18.28% 10.61% 19% 18.39% 25.99% 23.14% 21.97%
FCF / Net Income (%) 119.35% 62.66% 55.4% 154.58% 131.88% 248.17% 105.98% 99.39%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.15% 12.15% 11.9% 5.73% - 8.88% 7.3% -
ROE 31.78% 27.72% 23.09% 10.87% 11.68% 13.59% 15.84% 16.22%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.42x 0.84x 1.28x 1.21x 1.22x 0.59x 0.53x 0.5x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.72x 1.56x 4.96x 3.11x 3.15x 1.21x 1.25x 1.25x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 17.54% 14.69% 25.21% 25.16% 24.1% 24% 24.84% 24.33%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 47.04% 43.15% 61.05% 51.48% 50.49% 44.68% 45.53% 44.4%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 89.88% 80.34% 237.58% 132.43% 131.07% 92.37% 107.36% 110.76%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 12.05 15.91 14.77 15.12 14.57 17.4 16.83 18.32
Change - 32.04% -7.11% 2.34% -3.64% 19.42% -3.25% 8.81%
Dividend per Share 1 0.4675 0.95 1.15 1.2 1.2 1.217 1.21 1.271
Change - 103.21% 21.05% 4.35% 0% 1.44% -0.6% 5.03%
Book Value Per Share 1 19.67 31.29 39.9 39.67 44.2 44.5 50.15 60.58
Change - 59.12% 27.5% -0.57% 11.4% 0.68% 12.7% 20.79%
EPS 1 5.32 14.08 7.9 4.21 4.78 4.083 7.849 9.435
Change - 164.66% -43.89% -46.71% 13.54% -14.58% 92.24% 20.2%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 261,084 248,262 271,698 260,324 253,259 281,019 281,019 281,019
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/27/23 2/27/24 2/26/25 2/23/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 13.8x 7.17x
PBR 1.27x 1.12x
EV / Sales 1.96x 2.03x
Yield 2.16% 2.15%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
24
Last Close Price
56.31USD
Average target price
70.59USD
Spread / Average Target
+25.36%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise