Projected Income Statement: Orkla ASA

Forecast Balance Sheet: Orkla ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 13,207 17,600 19,783 16,893 14,698 16,580 15,680 15,837
Change - 33.26% 12.4% -14.61% -12.99% 12.8% -5.43% 1%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/14/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Orkla ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,606 2,777 2,921 1,981 2,444 2,540 2,729 2,893
Change - 6.56% 5.19% -32.18% 23.37% 3.94% 7.43% 6.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,747 2,453 4,328 7,669 6,827 6,457 6,187 7,228
Change - -34.53% 76.44% 77.2% -10.98% -5.42% -4.19% 16.84%
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/14/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1NOK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Orkla ASA

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.32% 16.56% 14.13% 15.21% 13.72% 14.12% 14.34% 14.44%
EBIT Margin (%) 11.36% 11.81% 9.2% 10.4% 9.9% 10.32% 10.71% 10.94%
EBT Margin (%) 12.62% 12.58% 10.27% 11.5% 11.71% 11.81% 12.1% 12.41%
Net margin (%) 9.53% 8.6% 7.66% 8.57% 16.04% 8.89% 9.06% 9.33%
FCF margin (%) 7.43% 4.2% 6.38% 10.85% 9.54% 9.01% 8.37% 9.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.93% 48.87% 83.29% 126.61% 59.5% 101.29% 92.36% 101.23%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.72% 7.2% 6.9% 6.86% - - - -
ROE 13.63% 13.59% 13.27% 12.98% 23.73% 13.97% 15.06% 15.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.6x 1.82x 2.07x 1.57x 1.5x 1.64x 1.48x 1.43x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.52x 7.17x 4.57x 2.2x 2.15x 2.57x 2.53x 2.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.17% 4.76% 4.31% 2.8% 3.42% 3.54% 3.69% 3.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.66% 28.72% 30.5% 18.44% 24.89% 25.11% 25.75% 26.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.55% 113.21% 67.49% 25.83% 35.8% 39.34% 44.11% 40.02%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 9.278 8.331 8.553 9.269
Change - - - - - -10.21% 2.66% 8.38%
Dividend per Share 1 3 3 3 4 6 5.124 4.672 5.078
Change - 0% 0% 33.33% 50% -14.6% -8.83% 8.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 38.55 41.82 45.37 48.1 48.83 46.42 48.42 51.9
Change - 8.47% 8.5% 6.01% 1.51% -4.93% 4.31% 7.18%
EPS 1 4.82 5.04 5.21 6.06 11.48 6.501 6.874 7.361
Change - 4.56% 3.37% 16.31% 89.44% -43.37% 5.72% 7.09%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 995,929 997,144 997,605 999,118 989,802 981,663 981,663 981,663
Announcement Date 2/10/22 2/14/23 2/8/24 2/13/25 2/12/26 - - -
1NOK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.3x 15.4x
PBR 2.28x 2.18x
EV / Sales 1.68x 1.62x
Yield 4.85% 4.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
105.70NOK
Average target price
114.43NOK
Spread / Average Target
+8.26%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise