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| 07-02 | Communications Services Down as Traders Await Deal Outcomes - Communications Services Roundup | DJ |
| 07-02 | HSBC Adjusts Price Target on Netflix to $104 From $113, Maintains Buy Rating | MT |
Projected Income Statement: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 29,698 | 31,616 | 33,723 | 39,001 | 45,183 | 51,399 | 57,401 | 63,322 |
| Change | - | 6.46% | 6.67% | 15.65% | 15.85% | 13.76% | 11.68% | 10.31% |
| EBITDA 1 | 6,806 | 6,545 | 7,650 | 11,019 | 14,028 | 17,099 | 20,438 | 23,919 |
| Change | - | -3.84% | 16.89% | 44.03% | 27.31% | 21.89% | 19.52% | 17.03% |
| EBIT 1 | 6,195 | 5,633 | 6,954 | 10,418 | 13,327 | 16,273 | 19,429 | 22,707 |
| Change | - | -9.07% | 23.45% | 49.81% | 27.92% | 22.11% | 19.39% | 16.87% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -765.6 | -706.2 | -699.8 | -718.7 | -776.5 | -904.1 | -810 | -725 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 5,840 | 5,264 | 6,205 | 9,966 | 12,723 | 18,252 | 18,881 | 22,427 |
| Change | - | -9.87% | 17.89% | 60.6% | 27.66% | 43.46% | 3.45% | 18.78% |
| Net income 1 | 5,116 | 4,492 | 5,408 | 8,712 | 10,981 | 15,364 | 16,192 | 19,042 |
| Change | - | -12.2% | 20.39% | 61.09% | 26.05% | 39.91% | 5.39% | 17.6% |
| Announcement Date | 1/20/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/23/24 | 1/21/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,365 | 8,295 | 7,405 | 5,999 | 5,400 | 1,755 | -3,897 | -10,683 |
| Change | - | -11.43% | -10.73% | -18.99% | -9.98% | -67.5% | -322.05% | -174.13% |
| Announcement Date | 1/20/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/23/24 | 1/21/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 524.6 | 407.7 | 348.6 | 439.5 | 688.2 | 685 | 716.4 | 744.5 |
| Change | - | -22.28% | -14.51% | 26.1% | 56.58% | -0.47% | 4.59% | 3.91% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | -158.9 | 1,619 | 6,926 | 6,922 | 9,461 | 13,175 | 14,279 | 16,988 |
| Change | - | 1,118.62% | 327.9% | -0.06% | 36.68% | 39.25% | 8.38% | 18.97% |
| Announcement Date | 1/20/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/23/24 | 1/21/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Netflix, Inc.
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 22.92% | 20.7% | 22.69% | 28.25% | 31.05% | 33.27% | 35.6% | 37.77% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 20.86% | 17.82% | 20.62% | 26.71% | 29.49% | 31.66% | 33.85% | 35.86% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 19.67% | 16.65% | 18.4% | 25.55% | 28.16% | 35.51% | 32.89% | 35.42% |
| Net margin (%) | 17.23% | 14.21% | 16.04% | 22.34% | 24.3% | 29.89% | 28.21% | 30.07% |
| FCF margin (%) | -0.54% | 5.12% | 20.54% | 17.75% | 20.94% | 25.63% | 24.88% | 26.83% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -3.11% | 36.03% | 128.07% | 79.45% | 86.16% | 85.75% | 88.19% | 89.21% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 12.2% | 9.64% | 11.11% | 17.02% | 20.11% | 24.38% | 23.22% | 22.67% |
| ROE | 38.02% | 24.53% | 26.15% | 38.43% | 42.76% | 50.13% | 43.28% | 45.09% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 1.38x | 1.27x | 0.97x | 0.54x | 0.38x | 0.1x | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | -58.94x | 5.12x | 1.07x | 0.87x | 0.57x | 0.13x | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 1.77% | 1.29% | 1.03% | 1.13% | 1.52% | 1.33% | 1.25% | 1.18% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 7.71% | 6.23% | 4.56% | 3.99% | 4.91% | 4.01% | 3.51% | 3.11% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | -330.15% | 25.19% | 5.03% | 6.35% | 7.27% | 5.2% | 5.02% | 4.38% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.0862 | 0.449 | 1.618 | 1.676 | 2.388 | 3.331 | 3.672 | 4.623 |
| Change | - | 420.75% | 260.44% | 3.55% | 42.51% | 39.49% | 10.23% | 25.91% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Change | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 3.481 | 4.604 | 4.663 | 5.633 | 6.263 | 7.988 | 9.457 | 11.39 |
| Change | - | 32.28% | 1.27% | 20.81% | 11.19% | 27.53% | 18.39% | 20.46% |
| EPS 1 | 1.124 | 0.995 | 1.203 | 1.983 | 2.53 | 3.592 | 3.831 | 4.571 |
| Change | - | -11.48% | 20.9% | 64.84% | 27.58% | 41.97% | 6.66% | 19.33% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 4,429,522 | 4,450,205 | 4,376,797 | 4,274,581 | 4,237,323 | 4,210,799 | 4,210,799 | 4,210,799 |
| Announcement Date | 1/20/22 | 1/19/23 | 1/23/24 | 1/21/25 | 1/20/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 21.6x | 20.3x |
| PBR | 9.72x | 8.21x |
| EV / Sales | 6.4x | 5.63x |
| Yield | - | - |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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The MSCI ESG score assesses a company’s environmental, social, and governance practices relative to its industry peers. Companies are rated from CCC (laggard) to AAA (leader). This rating helps investors incorporate sustainability risks and opportunities into their investment decisions.
Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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