Projected Income Statement: Nestlé S.A.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Nestlé S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 32,579 47,625 49,390 56,005 51,382 50,587 49,278 47,273
Change - 46.18% 3.71% 13.39% -8.25% -1.55% -2.59% -4.07%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Nestlé S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 5,341 5,095 5,714 5,963 4,911 4,344 4,452 4,588
Change - -4.61% 12.15% 4.36% -17.64% -11.54% 2.48% 3.05%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 8,523 6,570 10,403 10,666 9,154 9,897 10,407 11,550
Change - -22.91% 58.34% 2.53% -14.18% 8.11% 5.16% 10.98%
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1CHF in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Nestlé S.A.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 21.31% 20.8% 20.98% 21.11% 20.14% 20.35% 20.7% 21.02%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.36% 17.05% 17.26% 17.19% 16.08% 16.24% 16.6% 16.84%
EBT Margin (%) 12.41% 11.95% 13.66% 14.49% 12.01% 13.9% 14.44% 15.06%
Net margin (%) 19.41% 9.82% 12.05% 11.91% 10.09% 11.7% 12.12% 12.67%
FCF margin (%) 9.79% 6.96% 11.19% 11.68% 10.23% 11.16% 11.35% 12.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 50.42% 70.87% 92.81% 98% 101.34% 95.4% 93.61% 96.28%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.85% 6.76% 9.71% 8.19% 8.54% 8.62% 9.08% 9.47%
ROE 34.21% 19.49% 28.84% 30.38% 33.1% 32.62% 32.25% 31.47%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.76x 2.42x 2.53x 2.9x 2.85x 2.8x 2.6x 2.38x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.82x 7.25x 4.75x 5.25x 5.61x 5.11x 4.74x 4.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.13% 5.4% 6.14% 6.53% 5.49% 4.9% 4.86% 4.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.78% 25.94% 29.29% 30.92% 27.25% 24.06% 23.45% 23.06%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 62.67% 77.55% 54.93% 55.91% 53.65% 43.9% 42.78% 39.72%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.967 4.395 6.025 6.423 6.174 5.131 5.413 5.768
Change - -11.52% 37.07% 6.62% -3.88% -16.9% 5.51% 6.56%
Dividend per Share 1 2.8 2.95 3 3.05 3.1 3.139 3.193 3.291
Change - 5.36% 1.69% 1.67% 1.64% 1.25% 1.71% 3.1%
Book Value Per Share 1 19.26 15.21 13.15 13.96 12.76 13.79 14.78 16.16
Change - -21% -13.58% 6.19% -8.63% 8.13% 7.18% 9.29%
EPS 1 6.06 3.42 4.23 4.19 3.51 4.018 4.315 4.666
Change - -43.56% 23.68% -0.95% -16.23% 14.46% 7.4% 8.13%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,750,456 2,759,592 2,588,141 2,571,306 2,572,715 2,572,225 2,572,225 2,572,225
Announcement Date 2/17/22 2/16/23 2/22/24 2/13/25 2/19/26 - - -
1CHF
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 19.6x 18.3x
PBR 5.71x 5.33x
EV / Sales 2.85x 2.75x
Yield 3.98% 4.05%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
22
Last Close Price
78.78CHF
Average target price
87.87CHF
Spread / Average Target
+11.54%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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