Projected Income Statement: Mercialys

Forecast Balance Sheet: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,130 1,042 1,064 1,003 1,155 1,206 1,261 1,289
Change - -7.79% 2.11% -5.73% 15.15% 4.45% 4.56% 2.22%
Announcement Date 2/14/22 2/14/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 - - 22.53 28.78 - 130 116 46
Change - - - 27.73% - - -10.77% -60.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 150.5 209.1 111.7 132.8 29.99 133 134 159
Change - 38.99% -46.57% 18.81% -77.41% 343.45% 0.75% 18.66%
Announcement Date 2/14/22 2/14/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Mercialys

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 84.01% 83.24% 83.93% 81.97% 82.45% 82.22% 82.75% 83.22%
EBIT Margin (%) 60.08% 61.3% 48.21% 56.89% 43.62% 68.92% 68.23% 67.74%
EBT Margin (%) 40.44% 28.94% 25.56% 30.69% 20.54% 53.91% 52% 51.33%
Net margin (%) 36.1% 24.87% 29.98% 29.94% 18.81% 55.44% 56.18% 56.56%
FCF margin (%) 87.36% 120.69% 62.77% 73.94% 16.61% 69.04% 67.03% 77.28%
FCF / Net Income (%) 241.97% 485.28% 209.35% 246.94% 88.31% 124.53% 119.32% 136.63%

Profitability

        
ROA - 4.47% 4.91% 5.25% 5.12% 5.8% 5.9% 6%
ROE - 14.37% 15.54% 17.29% 19.17% 20.52% 21.25% 22.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.81x 7.23x 7.12x 6.81x 7.75x 7.62x 7.62x 7.53x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.51x 4.98x 9.52x 7.55x 38.5x 9.07x 9.41x 8.11x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) - - 12.66% 16.03% - 67.48% 58.03% 22.36%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) - - 15.08% 19.56% - 82.07% 70.12% 26.87%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - 20.17% 21.68% - 97.74% 86.57% 28.93%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 1.68 1.734 1.806 1.874
Change - - - - - 3.21% 4.13% 3.74%
Dividend per Share 1 0.92 0.96 0.99 1 1.002 1.033 1.05 1.073
Change - 4.35% 3.13% 1.01% 0.2% 3.06% 1.68% 2.22%
Book Value Per Share 1 18.39 18.42 16.29 16.29 16.96 16.86 17.12 17.45
Change - 0.16% -11.56% 0% 4.11% -0.61% 1.57% 1.9%
EPS 1 0.94 0.46 0.57 0.58 0.36 1.002 1.009 1.029
Change - -51.06% 23.91% 1.75% -37.93% 178.33% 0.68% 2.05%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 93,406 93,180 93,168 93,115 93,351 93,302 93,302 93,302
Announcement Date 2/14/22 2/14/23 2/14/24 2/12/25 2/17/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.7x 11.6x
PBR 0.7x 0.69x
EV / Sales 11.9x 11.8x
Yield 8.8% 8.94%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
11.74EUR
Average target price
13.78EUR
Spread / Average Target
+17.40%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. MERY Stock
  4. Financials Mercialys