Projected Income Statement: LVMH

Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,607 27,847 30,671 31,143 27,567 23,614 20,247 15,846
Change - 189.86% 10.14% 1.54% -11.48% -14.34% -14.26% -21.74%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,664 4,969 7,478 5,531 4,567 4,731 4,875 5,052
Change - 86.52% 50.49% -26.04% -17.43% 3.58% 3.05% 3.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,531 10,113 8,104 10,478 11,333 11,559 12,620 14,049
Change - -25.26% -19.87% 29.29% 8.16% 1.99% 9.18% 11.32%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 35.79% 34.45% 34.8% 32.32% 31.87% 30.2% 31.28% 31.38%
EBIT Margin (%) 26.71% 26.59% 26.47% 23.11% 21.97% 21.7% 22.47% 22.92%
EBT Margin (%) 26.8% 25.4% 25.1% 21.39% 20.66% 20.75% 21.51% 22.24%
Net margin (%) 18.74% 17.79% 17.61% 14.82% 13.46% 13.52% 14.93% 15.62%
FCF margin (%) 21.07% 12.77% 9.41% 12.37% 14.02% 14.33% 14.87% 15.65%
FCF / Net Income (%) 112.42% 71.8% 53.41% 83.49% 104.18% 105.98% 99.57% 100.21%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.29% 10.84% 10.9% 12.37% 7.47% 8.3% 8.96% 9.52%
ROE 28.48% 27.55% 26.13% 27.88% 16.12% 15.42% 16.69% 17.02%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.42x 1.02x 1.02x 1.14x 1.07x 0.97x 0.76x 0.56x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.71x 2.75x 3.78x 2.97x 2.43x 2.04x 1.6x 1.13x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.15% 6.28% 8.68% 6.53% 5.65% 5.86% 5.74% 5.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 11.59% 18.21% 24.94% 20.21% 17.73% 19.42% 18.36% 17.93%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.69% 49.13% 92.28% 52.79% 40.3% 40.93% 38.63% 35.96%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 37.01 35.49 36.78 37.87 37.9 33.49 36.63 39.18
Change - -4.1% 3.63% 2.98% 0.08% -11.64% 9.38% 6.97%
Dividend per Share 1 7 12 13 13 13 12.88 14.09 15.41
Change - 71.43% 8.33% 0% 0% -0.93% 9.41% 9.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 93.56 109.8 122.2 135.1 135.5 144 156.7 169.2
Change - 17.31% 11.29% 10.62% 0.28% 6.28% 8.79% 8%
EPS 1 23.89 28.03 30.33 25.12 21.85 21.96 25.55 28.18
Change - 17.33% 8.21% -17.18% -13.02% 0.52% 16.31% 10.3%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 503,785 501,103 499,410 499,744 495,126 496,391 496,391 496,391
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/26/23 1/25/24 1/28/25 1/27/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 22.6x 19.4x
PBR 3.44x 3.16x
EV / Sales 3.34x 3.14x
Yield 2.6% 2.84%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
26
Last Close Price
495.75EUR
Average target price
576.54EUR
Spread / Average Target
+16.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise