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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 509.40 EUR | +3.36% |
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+6.36% | -18.50% |
| 06-13 | LVMH Moët Hennessy - Louis Vuitton, Société Européenne - Shareholder/Analyst Call | |
| 06-13 | Gold fever sends some vintage luxury watches to the melting furnace | RE |
Projected Income Statement: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 64,215 | 79,184 | 86,153 | 84,683 | 80,807 | 80,903 | 85,098 | 90,270 |
| Change | - | 23.31% | 8.8% | -1.71% | -4.58% | 0.12% | 5.19% | 6.08% |
| EBITDA 1 | 22,981 | 27,281 | 29,979 | 27,367 | 25,756 | 24,682 | 26,939 | 28,566 |
| Change | - | 18.71% | 9.89% | -8.71% | -5.89% | -4.17% | 9.14% | 6.04% |
| EBIT 1 | 17,151 | 21,055 | 22,802 | 19,571 | 17,755 | 17,570 | 19,147 | 20,706 |
| Change | - | 22.76% | 8.3% | -14.17% | -9.28% | -1.04% | 8.98% | 8.14% |
| Interest Paid 1 | 53 | -888 | -935 | -792 | -401 | -810.4 | -811.1 | -666.2 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 17,208 | 20,113 | 21,625 | 18,115 | 16,698 | 16,809 | 18,368 | 20,031 |
| Change | - | 16.88% | 7.52% | -16.23% | -7.82% | 0.66% | 9.28% | 9.05% |
| Net income 1 | 12,036 | 14,084 | 15,174 | 12,550 | 10,878 | 10,947 | 12,728 | 14,033 |
| Change | - | 17.02% | 7.74% | -17.29% | -13.32% | 0.64% | 16.27% | 10.25% |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/28/25 | 1/27/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 9,607 | 27,847 | 30,671 | 31,143 | 27,567 | 23,846 | 19,909 | 15,846 |
| Change | - | 189.86% | 10.14% | 1.54% | -11.48% | -13.5% | -16.51% | -20.41% |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/28/25 | 1/27/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,664 | 4,969 | 7,478 | 5,531 | 4,567 | 4,828 | 4,858 | 5,010 |
| Change | - | 86.52% | 50.49% | -26.04% | -17.43% | 5.72% | 0.63% | 3.12% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 13,531 | 10,113 | 8,104 | 10,478 | 11,333 | 12,036 | 12,739 | 14,160 |
| Change | - | -25.26% | -19.87% | 29.29% | 8.16% | 6.2% | 5.84% | 11.15% |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/28/25 | 1/27/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: LVMH
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 35.79% | 34.45% | 34.8% | 32.32% | 31.87% | 30.51% | 31.66% | 31.64% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 26.71% | 26.59% | 26.47% | 23.11% | 21.97% | 21.72% | 22.5% | 22.94% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 26.8% | 25.4% | 25.1% | 21.39% | 20.66% | 20.78% | 21.58% | 22.19% |
| Net margin (%) | 18.74% | 17.79% | 17.61% | 14.82% | 13.46% | 13.53% | 14.96% | 15.55% |
| FCF margin (%) | 21.07% | 12.77% | 9.41% | 12.37% | 14.02% | 14.88% | 14.97% | 15.69% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 112.42% | 71.8% | 53.41% | 83.49% | 104.18% | 109.94% | 100.09% | 100.9% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 10.29% | 10.84% | 10.9% | 12.37% | 7.47% | 8.06% | 8.93% | 9.49% |
| ROE | 28.48% | 27.55% | 26.13% | 27.88% | 16.12% | 15.42% | 16.73% | 17.07% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.42x | 1.02x | 1.02x | 1.14x | 1.07x | 0.97x | 0.74x | 0.55x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.71x | 2.75x | 3.78x | 2.97x | 2.43x | 1.98x | 1.56x | 1.12x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.15% | 6.28% | 8.68% | 6.53% | 5.65% | 5.97% | 5.71% | 5.55% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 11.59% | 18.21% | 24.94% | 20.21% | 17.73% | 19.56% | 18.03% | 17.54% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 19.69% | 49.13% | 92.28% | 52.79% | 40.3% | 40.11% | 38.14% | 35.38% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 37.01 | 35.49 | 36.78 | 37.87 | 37.9 | 33.49 | 36.65 | 39.2 |
| Change | - | -4.1% | 3.63% | 2.98% | 0.08% | -11.63% | 9.41% | 6.97% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12.89 | 14.1 | 15.4 |
| Change | - | 71.43% | 8.33% | 0% | 0% | -0.82% | 9.39% | 9.22% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 93.56 | 109.8 | 122.2 | 135.1 | 135.5 | 143.9 | 156.7 | 169.1 |
| Change | - | 17.31% | 11.29% | 10.62% | 0.28% | 6.24% | 8.82% | 7.96% |
| EPS 1 | 23.89 | 28.03 | 30.33 | 25.12 | 21.85 | 21.91 | 25.54 | 28.26 |
| Change | - | 17.33% | 8.21% | -17.18% | -13.02% | 0.28% | 16.57% | 10.65% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 503,785 | 501,103 | 499,410 | 499,744 | 495,126 | 496,391 | 496,391 | 496,391 |
| Announcement Date | 1/27/22 | 1/26/23 | 1/25/24 | 1/28/25 | 1/27/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E Ratio | 23.3x | 20x |
| PBR | 3.55x | 3.26x |
| EV / Sales | 3.43x | 3.21x |
| Yield | 2.53% | 2.76% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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