Projected Income Statement: Itron, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Itron, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 288 251 153 191 -232 668 350 -55
Change - -12.85% -39.04% 24.84% -221.47% 388.44% -47.6% -115.71%
Announcement Date 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 2/25/25 2/17/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Itron, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 34.68 19.75 26.88 30.56 22.89 30.84 33.91 36.95
Change - -43.06% 36.14% 13.68% -25.1% 34.71% 9.97% 8.96%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 120.1 4.753 98.09 207.6 383.1 295.5 296.2 383
Change - -96.04% 1,963.69% 111.66% 84.51% -22.86% 0.23% 29.31%
Announcement Date 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 2/25/25 2/17/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Itron, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.81% 5.29% 10.38% 13.26% 15.79% 15.86% 16.37% 21%
EBIT Margin (%) -4% -0.41% 5.93% 10.82% 13.23% 13.02% 14.19% 19.13%
EBT Margin (%) -6.25% -0.88% 5.86% 11.66% 14.46% 12.77% 14.1% 18.44%
Net margin (%) -4.1% -0.54% 4.46% 9.8% 12.72% 9.94% 10.73% 14.51%
FCF margin (%) 6.06% 0.26% 4.51% 8.51% 16.18% 12.36% 11.69% 14.04%
FCF / Net Income (%) -147.82% -48.84% 101.2% 86.83% 127.24% 124.35% 108.99% 96.72%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.12% -0.41% 3.89% 7.95% 8.45% 5.9% 6.3% -
ROE 8.08% -0.85% 7.82% 17.7% 19.38% 13.45% 14.5% 15.1%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.5x 2.64x 0.68x 0.59x - 1.76x 0.84x -
Debt / Free cash flow 2.39x 52.71x 1.56x 0.92x - 2.26x 1.18x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.75% 1.1% 1.24% 1.25% 0.97% 1.29% 1.34% 1.35%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.1% 20.77% 11.92% 9.44% 6.12% 8.13% 8.18% 6.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.87% 415.46% 27.41% 14.72% 5.98% 10.44% 11.45% 9.65%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.494 2.644 2.726 5.157 11.41 8.565 8.167 11.18
Change - -24.32% 3.11% 89.13% 121.28% -24.94% -4.65% 36.9%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 24.72 25.91 28.8 30.65 37.94 41.1 48.37 56.2
Change - 4.81% 11.18% 6.42% 23.77% 8.34% 17.68% 16.19%
EPS 1 -1.83 -0.22 2.11 5.18 6.5 5.188 6.085 8.38
Change - 87.98% 1,059.09% 145.5% 25.48% -20.19% 17.3% 37.71%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 45,272 45,178 45,493 45,090 44,859 44,339 44,339 44,339
Announcement Date 2/28/22 2/27/23 2/26/24 2/25/25 2/17/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 16.4x 14x
PBR 2.07x 1.76x
EV / Sales 1.86x 1.63x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
85.10USD
Average target price
126.70USD
Spread / Average Target
+48.88%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise