Projected Income Statement: Indorama Ventures

Forecast Balance Sheet: Indorama Ventures

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 207,771 232,569 235,649 244,900 236,150 224,993 205,236 184,484
Change - 11.94% 1.32% 3.93% -3.57% -4.72% -8.78% -10.11%
Announcement Date 2/27/22 2/25/23 2/23/24 2/26/25 3/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Indorama Ventures

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 19,959 25,631 24,009 16,029 17,887 20,116 17,365 17,185
Change - 28.42% -6.33% -33.24% 11.59% 12.46% -13.68% -1.04%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 13,813 52,350 29,124 19,083 30,159 14,364 21,372 25,220
Change - 279% -44.37% -34.48% 58.05% -52.37% 48.79% 18%
Announcement Date 2/27/22 2/25/23 2/23/24 2/26/25 3/2/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Indorama Ventures

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.63% 11.39% 6.35% 7.58% 5.52% 9.58% 9.89% 10.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.99% 7.47% 1.23% 2.42% -0.19% 4.41% 4.5% 4.98%
EBT Margin (%) 7.47% 6.11% -2.51% -4.25% -1.79% 1.66% 1.96% 2.27%
Net margin (%) 5.62% 4.72% -1.99% -3.56% -1.64% 1.21% 1.57% 1.81%
FCF margin (%) 2.95% 7.98% 5.38% 3.52% 6.74% 2.95% 4.23% 5.06%
FCF / Net Income (%) 52.54% 168.84% -269.72% -99.07% -410.42% 243.02% 268.77% 279.96%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.28% 5.32% -0.36% -3.4% -1.38% 1.57% 2.14% 2.65%
ROE 18.42% 17.99% -1.25% -13.27% -6.04% 4.82% 5.66% 7.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.26x 3.11x 6.86x 5.96x 9.57x 4.83x 4.1x 3.68x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.04x 4.44x 8.09x 12.83x 7.83x 15.66x 9.6x 7.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.26% 3.91% 4.43% 2.96% 4% 4.13% 3.44% 3.45%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.27% 34.28% 69.85% 39.02% 72.47% 43.15% 34.72% 34.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 144.5% 48.96% 82.44% 84% 59.31% 140.05% 81.25% 68.14%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.845 13.89 9.464 6.254 8.557 8.14 7.058 7.56
Change - 137.61% -31.86% -33.92% 36.84% -4.88% -13.3% 7.12%
Dividend per Share 1 1 1.45 0.925 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6889 0.6548
Change - 45% -36.21% -24.32% 0% 0% -1.59% -4.94%
Book Value Per Share 1 28.28 33.13 29.27 22.43 20.93 22.02 23.95 25.96
Change - 17.15% -11.63% -23.37% -6.69% 5.17% 8.79% 8.41%
EPS 1 4.55 5.39 -2.06 -3.65 -1.309 1.108 1.456 1.573
Change - 18.46% -138.22% -77.18% 64.14% 184.65% 31.43% 8.01%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,614,552 5,614,552 5,614,552 5,614,552 5,614,552 5,614,552 5,614,552 5,614,552
Announcement Date 2/27/22 2/25/23 2/23/24 2/26/25 3/2/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.7x 15.7x
PBR 1.04x 0.96x
EV / Sales 0.73x 0.66x
Yield 3.06% 3.01%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
22.90THB
Average target price
27.79THB
Spread / Average Target
+21.33%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. IVL Stock
  4. Financials Indorama Ventures