Projected Income Statement: Gap

Forecast Balance Sheet: Gap

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 607 621 -385 -845 -1,124 -1,186 -1,437 -1,625
Change - 2.31% -162% -119.48% -33.02% -5.52% -21.16% -13.08%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/9/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Gap

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 694 685 420 447 470 646.7 612.5 656.9
Change - -1.3% -38.69% 6.43% 5.15% 37.59% -5.28% 7.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 115 -78 1,112 1,039 823 612.6 957.4 -
Change - -167.83% 1,525.64% -6.56% -20.79% -25.57% 56.29% -100%
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/9/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Gap

Fiscal Period: January 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.48% 3.42% 7.58% 10.69% 10.48% 10.6% 11.06% 10.94%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.46% -0.04% 4.07% 7.37% 7.26% 7.4% 7.99% 8.32%
EBT Margin (%) 1.94% -0.89% 3.73% 7.54% 7.37% 8.14% 8.29% 8.57%
Net margin (%) 1.54% -1.29% 3.37% 5.59% 5.31% 6.25% 6.1% 6.29%
FCF margin (%) 0.69% -0.5% 7.47% 6.89% 5.36% 3.93% 5.97% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 44.92% 38.61% 221.51% 123.1% 100.86% 62.94% 97.92% -

Profitability

        
ROA 4.16% -1.67% 4.78% 7.36% 6.66% 7.84% 7.46% 7.5%
ROE 20.69% -5.85% 22.2% 28.81% 23.1% 24.42% 24.38% 25.62%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.43x 1.16x - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow 5.28x -7.96x - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.16% 4.39% 2.82% 2.96% 3.06% 4.15% 3.82% 3.99%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 49.08% 128.28% 37.23% 27.73% 29.17% 39.14% 34.56% 36.5%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 603.48% -878.21% 37.77% 43.02% 57.11% 105.57% 63.98% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.112 1.654 4.074 3.87 - 0.7526 0.7548 -
Change - -21.7% 146.35% -5.02% - - 0.3% -
Dividend per Share 1 0.6025 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.66 0.6856 0.7139 0.7409
Change - -0.41% 0% 0% 10% 3.88% 4.12% 3.78%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.239 6.084 6.902 8.5 10.19 10.59 11.36 13.34
Change - -15.95% 13.43% 23.16% 19.89% 3.97% 7.27% 17.41%
EPS 1 0.67 -0.55 1.34 2.2 2.13 2.673 2.65 2.954
Change - -182.09% 343.64% 64.18% -3.18% 25.5% -0.85% 11.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 373,403 365,049 370,833 377,122 371,922 359,979 359,979 359,979
Announcement Date 3/3/22 3/9/23 3/7/24 3/6/25 3/5/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 7.56x 7.63x
PBR 1.91x 1.78x
EV / Sales 0.39x 0.36x
Yield 3.39% 3.53%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
20.21USD
Average target price
27.26USD
Spread / Average Target
+34.88%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise