Projected Income Statement: Gamuda

Forecast Balance Sheet: Gamuda

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,690 1,198 2,746 4,445 6,422 7,862 8,715 9,023
Change - -29.11% 129.22% 61.87% 44.48% 22.43% 10.85% 3.53%
Announcement Date 9/29/21 9/29/22 9/27/23 9/26/24 9/19/25 - - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Gamuda

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 233.2 523 700.6 304.4 260.7 632.4 448.9 428.5
Change - 124.27% 33.96% -56.55% -14.37% 142.61% -29.02% -4.55%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 824.2 -78.78 -1,290 -153.5 -95.29 1,391 -805.4 786.8
Change - -109.56% -1,536.81% 88.1% 37.92% 1,559.61% -157.91% 197.69%
Announcement Date 9/29/21 9/29/22 9/27/23 9/26/24 9/19/25 - - -
1MYR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Gamuda

Fiscal Period: July 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.07% 18.94% 12.95% 8.3% 9.62% 9.51% 9.76% 9.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 16.66% 14.28% 11.52% 7.08% 8.37% 8.45% 8.62% 8.44%
EBT Margin (%) 22.35% 19.67% 27.03% 8.22% 8.16% 8.01% 8.44% 8.62%
Net margin (%) 16.73% 15.62% 22.2% 6.83% 6.28% 6.05% 6.23% 6.5%
FCF margin (%) 23.43% -1.53% -15.57% -1.15% -0.6% 8.02% -3.73% 2.95%
FCF / Net Income (%) 140.09% -9.77% -70.15% -16.83% -9.5% 132.66% -59.83% 45.41%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.18% 4.17% 3.69% 3.62% 3.47% 3.75% 4.29% 5.06%
ROE 6.65% 8.46% 7.86% 8.23% 8.59% 8.73% 10.47% 12.53%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.08x 1.22x 2.56x 4.01x 4.18x 4.77x 4.13x 3.51x
Debt / Free cash flow 2.05x -15.21x -2.13x -28.96x -67.39x 5.65x -10.82x 11.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.63% 10.13% 8.46% 2.28% 1.63% 3.65% 2.08% 1.61%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 28.75% 53.48% 65.31% 27.48% 16.97% 38.35% 21.29% 16.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 28.3% -663.85% -54.33% -198.33% -273.56% 45.47% -55.74% 54.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2103 0.0874 -0.1088 0.0266 0.0283 0.1842 -0.0752 0.0282
Change - -58.47% -224.61% 124.39% 6.59% 550.95% -140.85% 137.53%
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.06 0.25 0.08 0.2 0.0963 0.103 0.128
Change - - 316.67% -68% 150% -51.84% 6.96% 24.26%
Book Value Per Share 1 1.825 1.94 2.03 2.05 2.07 2.152 2.276 2.453
Change - 6.3% 4.64% 0.99% 0.98% 3.98% 5.75% 7.79%
EPS 1 0.117 0.1586 0.3398 0.1606 0.1715 0.1795 0.2246 0.2892
Change - 35.45% 114.32% -52.75% 6.82% 4.64% 25.16% 28.76%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,027,057 5,107,862 5,325,472 5,550,607 5,790,500 5,964,785 5,964,785 5,964,785
Announcement Date 9/29/21 9/29/22 9/27/23 9/26/24 9/19/25 - - -
1MYR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.7x 18.9x
PBR 1.97x 1.87x
EV / Sales 1.92x 1.58x
Yield 2.27% 2.42%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
4.250MYR
Average target price
5.292MYR
Spread / Average Target
+24.51%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise