Projected Income Statement: Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -2,606 -2,462 -3,418 -3,116 -5,446 -6,426 -7,688 -9,288
Change - 5.53% -38.83% 8.84% -74.78% -17.99% -19.64% -20.81%
Announcement Date 4/22/22 4/28/23 4/27/24 4/25/25 4/25/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 375.6 675.9 900.2 707.6 683.5 731.6 678.1 785.3
Change - 79.96% 33.19% -21.4% -3.4% 7.04% -7.32% 15.82%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,382 1,051 191.1 144.7 2,703 1,197 2,124 2,302
Change - -23.9% -81.83% -24.29% 1,768.49% -55.71% 77.42% 8.35%
Announcement Date 4/22/22 4/28/23 4/27/24 4/25/25 4/25/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 18.41% 13.19% 5.92% 9.14% 12.97% 12.2% 12.52% 12.67%
EBIT Margin (%) 17.24% 11.86% 4.1% 6.86% 9.96% 9.96% 10.29% 10.43%
EBT Margin (%) 17.21% 11.92% 4.21% 5.45% 9.9% 10.12% 10.52% 10.57%
Net margin (%) 15.36% 11.08% 3.95% 4.87% 9.24% 9.26% 9.59% 9.7%
FCF margin (%) 10.56% 6.86% 1.23% 0.87% 14.2% 5.4% 8.42% 8.1%
FCF / Net Income (%) 68.73% 61.91% 31.22% 17.95% 153.74% 58.26% 87.85% 83.54%

Profitability

        
ROA 23.81% 14.14% 4.59% 5.67% 10.83% 11.38% 12.22% 11.82%
ROE 50.9% 30.46% 9.51% 11.76% 21.65% 20.47% 20.79% 19.79%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.87% 4.41% 5.81% 4.28% 3.59% 3.3% 2.69% 2.77%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 15.59% 33.44% 98.12% 46.8% 27.69% 27.01% 21.48% 21.82%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 27.18% 64.28% 471.09% 489.08% 25.29% 61.11% 31.92% 34.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.072 3.012 1.893 1.481 5.894 4.157 5.358 6.513
Change - -1.96% -37.15% -21.75% 297.87% -29.47% 28.89% 21.55%
Dividend per Share 1 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.45 0.92 1.045 1.321 1.344
Change - -18.18% -66.67% 50% 104.44% 13.58% 26.39% 1.79%
Book Value Per Share 1 8.7 11.01 11.15 12.51 15.62 18.25 21.25 25.22
Change - 26.5% 1.34% 12.16% 24.86% 16.87% 16.4% 18.7%
EPS 1 3.53 2.96 1.07 1.41 3.06 3.574 4.217 4.833
Change - -16.15% -63.85% 31.78% 117.02% 16.79% 18% 14.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 572,024 573,500 576,463 575,295 578,921 578,598 578,598 578,598
Announcement Date 4/22/22 4/28/23 4/27/24 4/25/25 4/25/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 14.9x 12.7x
PBR 2.92x 2.51x
EV / Sales 1.1x 0.92x
Yield 1.96% 2.47%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
53.39CNY
Average target price
76.16CNY
Spread / Average Target
+42.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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