Projected Income Statement: Disco Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Disco Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -109,809 -125,771 -163,053 -215,486 -229,167 -284,575 -368,841 -473,429
Change - -14.54% -29.64% -32.16% -6.35% -24.18% -31.53% -28.36%
Announcement Date 4/22/21 4/21/22 4/20/23 4/25/24 4/17/25 4/22/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Disco Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 21,026 43,576 14,972 16,140 66,861 35,143 33,949 32,559
Change - 107.25% -65.64% 7.8% 314.26% -47.44% 1.87% -4.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 43,602 40,063 68,706 81,121 53,503 -2,226 126,726 183,650
Change - -8.12% 71.49% 18.07% -34.05% -104.16% 27.41% 44.92%
Announcement Date 4/22/21 4/21/22 4/20/23 4/25/24 4/17/25 4/22/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Disco Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 32.77% 39.43% 42.51% 43.09% 45.51% 45.73% 48.14% 49.74%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.04% 36.06% 38.86% 39.5% 42.41% 42.34% 45.17% 46.97%
EBT Margin (%) 29.22% 36.35% 39.69% 37.25% 42.74% 42.07% 44.56% 46.28%
Net margin (%) 21.38% 26.09% 29.17% 27.38% 31.5% 31.02% 33.49% 34.79%
FCF margin (%) 23.84% 15.79% 24.18% 26.38% 13.6% -0.51% 23.59% 29.75%
FCF / Net Income (%) 111.54% 60.51% 82.89% 96.34% 43.18% -1.64% 70.45% 85.51%

Profitability

        
ROA 17.78% 25.21% 25.73% 23.88% 20.48% 26.47% 24.42% 22.33%
ROE 16.4% 24.3% 25.9% 22.4% 28.49% 25.1% 27.44% 27.44%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.5% 17.17% 5.27% 5.25% 17% 8.04% 6.32% 5.27%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.09% 43.55% 12.4% 12.18% 37.35% 17.59% 13.13% 10.6%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.22% 108.77% 21.79% 19.9% 124.97% -1,578.75% 26.79% 17.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 424.9 690.7 861.2 879.1 1,111 1,387 1,422 1,692
Change - 62.55% 24.7% 2.08% 26.34% 24.83% 21.78% 18.93%
Dividend per Share 1 225.7 269.3 305.3 307 413 505 643.8 802.9
Change - 19.35% 13.37% 0.55% 34.53% 22.28% 43.79% 24.71%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,322 2,703 3,202 3,740 4,407 5,408 6,420 7,677
Change - 16.39% 18.47% 16.8% 17.84% 22.71% 22.74% 19.59%
EPS 1 361.8 611.7 765.5 777.3 1,143 1,250 1,658 1,980
Change - 69.05% 25.14% 1.54% 47.08% 9.32% 37.31% 19.39%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 108,112 108,270 108,302 108,349 108,375 108,462 108,462 108,462
Announcement Date 4/22/21 4/21/22 4/20/23 4/25/24 4/17/25 4/22/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E Ratio 49x 49.2x
PBR 11.3x 12.7x
EV / Sales 14.6x 15.8x
Yield 0.82% 0.79%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
21
Last Close Price
81,550.00JPY
Average target price
79,360.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
-2.69%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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