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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 8.160 HKD | +0.62% |
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-0.85% | -3.20% |
| 07-07 | Weight-loss drug developers line up to tap lucrative market as competition heats up | RE |
| 07-07 | CSPC Pharma Begins Phase II Trial of Mixed Hyperlipidaemia Drug | MT |
Projected Income Statement: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 34,309 | 35,292 | 34,175 | 31,046 | 29,533 | 35,677 | 35,195 | 37,634 |
| Change | - | 2.87% | -3.17% | -9.15% | -4.88% | 20.8% | -1.35% | 6.93% |
| EBITDA 1 | 9,431 | 9,148 | 8,615 | 7,547 | 7,168 | 12,600 | 9,933 | 10,533 |
| Change | - | -3.01% | -5.83% | -12.4% | -5.02% | 75.78% | -21.16% | 6.04% |
| EBIT 1 | 8,366 | 7,952 | 7,400 | 6,113 | 5,564 | 9,206 | 7,644 | 8,108 |
| Change | - | -4.95% | -6.94% | -17.4% | -8.99% | 65.47% | -16.97% | 6.08% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -9.423 | -28.39 | -28.14 | -46.77 | -43.72 | -44.5 | -47.03 | -38.63 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 8,430 | 8,650 | 8,030 | 5,971 | 5,460 | 10,019 | 8,554 | 9,340 |
| Change | - | 2.61% | -7.17% | -25.64% | -8.55% | 83.5% | -14.63% | 9.19% |
| Net income 1 | 6,901 | 6,949 | 6,382 | 4,632 | 4,409 | 7,937 | 6,917 | 7,537 |
| Change | - | 0.69% | -8.16% | -27.42% | -4.82% | 80.04% | -12.86% | 8.97% |
| Announcement Date | 3/22/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/20/24 | 3/28/25 | 3/25/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | -11,298 | -11,467 | -13,738 | -8,238 | -9,670 | -10,863 | -13,439 | -16,502 |
| Change | - | -1.5% | -19.8% | 40.03% | -17.38% | -12.34% | -23.71% | -22.79% |
| Announcement Date | 3/22/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/20/24 | 3/28/25 | 3/25/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,914 | 2,517 | 1,754 | 2,145 | 2,245 | 2,766 | 2,820 | 2,878 |
| Change | - | 31.47% | -30.29% | 22.26% | 4.68% | 23.2% | 1.95% | 2.06% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 3,787 | 6,129 | 2,761 | 2,682 | 4,438 | 8,222 | 7,020 | 9,576 |
| Change | - | 61.85% | -54.95% | -2.87% | 65.48% | 85.28% | -14.62% | 36.41% |
| Announcement Date | 3/22/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/20/24 | 3/28/25 | 3/25/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: CSPC Pharmaceutical Group Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 27.49% | 25.92% | 25.21% | 24.31% | 24.27% | 35.32% | 28.22% | 27.99% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 24.38% | 22.53% | 21.65% | 19.69% | 18.84% | 25.8% | 21.72% | 21.55% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 24.57% | 24.51% | 23.5% | 19.23% | 18.49% | 28.08% | 24.3% | 24.82% |
| Net margin (%) | 20.11% | 19.69% | 18.68% | 14.92% | 14.93% | 22.25% | 19.65% | 20.03% |
| FCF margin (%) | 11.04% | 17.37% | 8.08% | 8.64% | 15.03% | 23.05% | 19.95% | 25.44% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 54.87% | 88.2% | 43.26% | 57.89% | 100.66% | 103.59% | 101.49% | 127.05% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 17.3% | 15.96% | 13.34% | 9.55% | 8.52% | 13.99% | 12.74% | 12.7% |
| ROE | 23.2% | 21.73% | 18.53% | 13.22% | 11.86% | 18.97% | 15.67% | 15.58% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Debt / Free cash flow | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 5.58% | 7.13% | 5.13% | 6.91% | 7.6% | 7.75% | 8.01% | 7.65% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 20.3% | 27.51% | 20.37% | 28.42% | 31.32% | 21.95% | 28.39% | 27.33% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 50.55% | 41.06% | 63.55% | 79.99% | 50.6% | 33.64% | 40.18% | 30.06% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 0.4769 | 0.7254 | 0.3804 | 0.4112 | 0.585 | 0.6081 | 0.7116 | 0.7397 |
| Change | - | 52.09% | -47.56% | 8.1% | 42.28% | 3.95% | 17.02% | 3.95% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.3633 | 0.3682 | 0.3827 |
| Change | - | 16.67% | 33.33% | -7.14% | 11.54% | 25.28% | 1.35% | 3.94% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 2.673 | 2.872 | 3.039 | 2.944 | 3.29 | 3.753 | 4.086 | 4.517 |
| Change | - | 7.46% | 5.82% | -3.14% | 11.75% | 14.09% | 8.87% | 10.55% |
| EPS 1 | 0.5773 | 0.5831 | 0.5376 | 0.3946 | 0.3859 | 0.7213 | 0.6181 | 0.6742 |
| Change | - | 1% | -7.8% | -26.6% | -2.21% | 86.93% | -14.32% | 9.08% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 11,916,370 | 11,915,520 | 11,848,756 | 11,541,665 | 11,433,025 | 11,433,025 | 11,433,025 | 11,433,025 |
| Announcement Date | 3/22/22 | 3/22/23 | 3/20/24 | 3/28/25 | 3/25/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 11.2x | 13.1x |
| PBR | 2.16x | 1.98x |
| EV / Sales | 2.29x | 2.25x |
| Yield | 4.48% | 4.54% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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