Projected Income Statement: Covivio

Forecast Balance Sheet: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,972 - 6,925 6,845 7,061 7,950 8,209 8,295
Change - - - -1.16% 3.16% 12.59% 3.26% 1.05%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/15/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 697.5 484.5 595.8 579.6 512 608 616
Change - - 22.97% -2.72% -11.66% 18.75% 1.32%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 716.3 347.2 384.7 240 - - -
Change - - 10.8% -37.61% -100% - -
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/15/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Covivio

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 91.76% 88.05% 89.51% 58.7% 101.29% 95.05% 95.68% 96.01%
EBIT Margin (%) 83.75% 85.28% 86.09% 57.18% 96.99% 120.35% 120.74% 122.59%
EBT Margin (%) 170.55% 117.3% -252.45% 7.53% 98.57% - - -
Net margin (%) 155.33% 102.29% -230.47% 6.81% 116.37% 81.97% 110.11% 131.79%
FCF margin (%) 120.47% - 56.4% 38.47% 37.81% - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.56% - -24.47% 564.9% 32.49% - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 1.48% - 1.65% 1.91% 2.94% - - -
ROE 4.62% - 5% 5.9% 6.02% 6.02% 5.94% 5.88%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 20.11x - 12.57x 11.66x 10.98x 12.15x 11.88x 11.4x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.32x - 19.95x 17.79x 29.42x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 117.31% - 78.7% 59.58% 91.3% 74.36% 84.22% 81.25%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 127.84% - 87.93% 101.5% 90.14% 78.23% 88.02% 84.63%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 97.37% - 139.54% 154.87% 241.5% - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.903 - 8.531 8.074 8.251 5.132 5.186 5.207
Change - - - -5.36% 2.18% -37.79% 1.04% 0.41%
Dividend per Share 1 3.75 3.75 3.3 3.5 3.75 3.952 4.044 4.187
Change - 0% -12% 6.06% 7.14% 5.39% 2.32% 3.54%
Book Value Per Share 1 90.97 100.6 81.62 73.9 77.3 86.69 89.18 92.33
Change - 10.63% -18.9% -9.46% 4.6% 12.15% 2.87% 3.53%
EPS 1 9.791 6.606 -14.55 0.637 6.667 5.086 5.512 6.321
Change - -32.53% -320.31% 104.38% 946.69% -23.71% 8.37% 14.67%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 94,369 93,764 100,084 110,805 110,750 110,804 110,804 110,804
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/15/24 2/19/25 2/18/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.47x 8.74x
PBR 0.56x 0.54x
EV / Sales 19.3x 18.8x
Yield 8.21% 8.4%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
48.16EUR
Average target price
61.55EUR
Spread / Average Target
+27.80%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise