Projected Income Statement: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 248,040 363,852 443,920 434,720 525,477 435,736 481,249 -
Change - 46.69% 22.01% -2.07% 20.88% -17.08% 10.45% -
Announcement Date 4/15/22 4/17/23 4/18/24 4/15/25 4/17/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 28,321 23,466 31,503 11,389 21,467 20,014 17,312 8,704
Change - -17.14% 34.25% -63.85% 88.49% -6.76% -13.5% -49.72%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - -19,637 -20,473 4,385 - - - -
Change - - -4.26% 121.42% - - - -
Announcement Date 4/15/22 4/17/23 4/18/24 4/15/25 4/17/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 5.71% 4.6% 4.49% 4.12% 3.72% 4.71% 5.23% 4.54%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.32% 4.22% 4.11% 3.68% 3.31% 3.18% 3.34% 3.64%
EBT Margin (%) 5.33% 4.32% 4.1% 3.66% 3.37% 3.47% 3.57% 3.47%
Net margin (%) 2.72% 2.48% 2.4% 2.11% 1.88% 1.81% 1.94% 1.94%
FCF margin (%) - -0.96% -0.9% 0.2% - - - -
FCF / Net Income (%) - -38.54% -37.73% 9.49% - - - -

Profitability

        
ROA 2.24% 2.02% 1.75% 1.36% 1.16% 1.13% 1.17% 1.25%
ROE 15.93% 13.94% 13.36% 10.37% 8.15% 8.43% 8.27% 7.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.3x 3.85x 4.37x 4.82x 6.78x 4.37x 4.14x -
Debt / Free cash flow - -18.53x -21.68x 99.14x - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.5% 1.14% 1.39% 0.52% 1.03% 0.95% 0.78% 0.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 26.23% 24.8% 30.99% 12.63% 27.71% 20.07% 14.89% 8.83%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - -119.5% -153.88% 259.72% - - - -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.3424 0.0913 0.2631 0.3791 0.497 0.78 0.7564 0.88
Change - -73.34% 188.17% 44.09% 31.1% 56.94% -3.02% 16.34%
Dividend per Share 1 0.25 0.2527 0.2714 0.2715 0.2718 0.2769 0.3015 -
Change - 1.08% 7.42% 0.02% 0.11% 1.87% 8.9% -
Book Value Per Share 1 7.96 8.926 9.983 10.89 11.68 12.54 13.42 14.06
Change - 12.14% 11.84% 9.09% 7.24% 7.33% 7.02% 4.78%
EPS 1 1.25 1.23 1.31 1.11 0.94 0.9751 1.072 1.02
Change - -1.6% 6.5% -15.27% -15.32% 3.73% 9.95% -4.83%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 41,948,168 41,934,433 41,919,514 41,610,322 41,320,390 41,320,390 41,320,390 41,320,390
Announcement Date 4/15/22 4/17/23 4/18/24 4/15/25 4/17/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 4.71x 4.28x
PBR 0.37x 0.34x
EV / Sales 0.3x 0.3x
Yield 6.03% 6.57%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
4.590CNY
Average target price
6.239CNY
Spread / Average Target
+35.92%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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