Projected Income Statement: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 203,286 248,040 363,852 443,920 434,720 387,397 435,736 481,249
Change - 22.02% 46.69% 22.01% -2.07% -10.89% 12.48% 10.45%
Announcement Date 4/16/21 4/15/22 4/17/23 4/18/24 4/15/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 46,220 28,321 23,466 31,503 11,389 26,054 17,724 14,845
Change - -38.73% -17.14% 34.25% -63.85% 128.77% -31.97% -16.24%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 - - -19,637 -20,473 4,385 135,337 127,544 160,669
Change - - - -4.26% 121.42% 2,986.41% -5.76% 25.97%
Announcement Date 4/16/21 4/15/22 4/17/23 4/18/24 4/15/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China State Construction Engineering Corporation Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.27% 5.71% 4.6% 4.49% 4.12% 5.15% 5.23% 5.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.85% 5.32% 4.22% 4.11% 3.68% 3.63% 3.75% 3.8%
EBT Margin (%) 5.84% 5.33% 4.32% 4.1% 3.66% 3.65% 3.7% 3.75%
Net margin (%) 2.78% 2.72% 2.48% 2.4% 2.11% 2.09% 2.13% 2.16%
FCF margin (%) - - -0.96% -0.9% 0.2% 6.03% 5.5% 6.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) - - -38.54% -37.73% 9.49% 288.48% 258.62% 309.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.13% 2.24% 2.02% 1.75% 1.36% 1.4% 1.47% 1.45%
ROE 15.54% 15.93% 13.94% 13.36% 10.37% 9.76% 9.51% 9.33%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.01x 2.3x 3.85x 4.37x 4.82x 3.35x 3.59x 3.86x
Debt / Free cash flow - - -18.53x -21.68x 99.14x 2.86x 3.42x 3x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.86% 1.5% 1.14% 1.39% 0.52% 1.16% 0.76% 0.62%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 45.62% 26.23% 24.8% 30.99% 12.63% 22.53% 14.61% 11.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) - - -119.5% -153.88% 259.72% 19.25% 13.9% 9.24%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.4831 0.3424 0.0913 0.2631 0.3791 1.483 0.62 1.291
Change - -29.12% -73.34% 188.17% 44.09% 291.07% -58.18% 108.16%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2147 0.25 0.2527 0.2714 0.2715 0.2695 0.2848 0.3187
Change - 16.44% 1.08% 7.42% 0.02% -0.75% 5.67% 11.92%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.92 7.96 8.926 9.983 10.89 11.95 12.85 13.8
Change - 15.03% 12.14% 11.84% 9.09% 9.71% 7.54% 7.37%
EPS 1 1.07 1.25 1.23 1.31 1.11 1.139 1.192 1.247
Change - 16.82% -1.6% 6.5% -15.27% 2.6% 4.71% 4.61%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 41,965,072 41,948,168 41,934,433 41,919,514 41,610,322 41,320,390 41,320,390 41,320,390
Announcement Date 4/16/21 4/15/22 4/17/23 4/18/24 4/15/25 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 4.36x 4.17x
PBR 0.42x 0.39x
EV / Sales 0.26x 0.28x
Yield 5.42% 5.73%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
4.970CNY
Average target price
6.945CNY
Spread / Average Target
+39.74%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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