Projected Income Statement: Cegedim

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 251 229 238 185 232 178 150 109
Change - -8.76% 3.93% -22.27% 25.41% -23.36% -15.73% -27.33%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 64.76 76.14 75.49 89.92 73.94 81.05 84.2 87.4
Change - 17.56% -0.85% 19.11% -17.77% 9.62% 3.89% 3.8%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 24.18 10.34 22.43 11.93 51.91 23.8 28.45 31.25
Change - -57.25% 116.95% -46.81% 335.02% -54.15% 19.54% 9.84%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.95% 17.31% 17.67% 18.88% 19% 21.16% 21.79% 22.03%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.6% 4.62% 5.14% 6.03% 5.87% 7.8% 8.39% 8.7%
EBT Margin (%) 6.35% 3.19% 1.32% -1.5% - - 5.83% 6.07%
Net margin (%) 5% 2.45% -1.2% -2.25% 1.45% 3.22% 4.49% 4.63%
FCF margin (%) 4.61% 1.86% 3.64% 1.82% 8% 3.6% 4.18% 4.45%
FCF / Net Income (%) 92.22% 75.9% -302.86% -81.13% 552.32% 112% 93.03% 95.92%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - 2.6% 3.3% 3.5%
ROE 11.93% 5.27% -2.64% -5.56% 3.44% 8.38% 9.76% 9.5%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.4x 2.38x 2.19x 1.49x 1.88x 1.27x 1.01x 0.7x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.39x 22.15x 10.63x 15.46x 4.47x 7.49x 5.26x 3.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.34% 13.7% 12.25% 13.74% 11.39% 12.27% 12.36% 12.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.86% 79.14% 69.36% 72.77% 59.95% 57.99% 56.72% 56.42%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 267.78% 736.32% 336.51% 753.57% 142.45% 340.55% 295.96% 279.68%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.964 6.331 7.195 7.431 7.66 7.349 8.697 8.695
Change - -9.09% 13.64% 3.28% 3.08% -4.05% 18.34% -0.03%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 - - - - - - 0.4419
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 16.84 20.88 21.64 20.61 20.51 21.18 23.31 24.79
Change - 24% 3.66% -4.76% -0.47% 3.27% 10.04% 6.33%
EPS 1 1.9 1 -0.5 -1.1 0.7 1.469 2.207 2.353
Change - -47.37% -150% -120% 163.64% 109.83% 50.23% 6.64%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,796 13,660 13,638 13,712 13,768 13,731 13,731 13,731
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 7.67x 5.1x
PBR 0.53x 0.48x
EV / Sales 0.5x 0.45x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
3
Last Close Price
11.26EUR
Average target price
15.00EUR
Spread / Average Target
+33.21%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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