Projected Income Statement: Cegedim

Forecast Balance Sheet: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 251 229 238 185 232 162 134 102
Change - -8.76% 3.93% -22.27% 25.41% -30.25% -17.28% -23.88%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 64.76 76.14 75.49 89.92 73.94 81.05 84.15 87.4
Change - 17.56% -0.85% 19.11% -17.77% 9.62% 3.82% 3.86%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 24.18 10.34 22.43 11.93 51.91 23.1 27.95 30.9
Change - -57.25% 116.95% -46.81% 335.02% -55.5% 21% 10.55%
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Cegedim

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 19.95% 17.31% 17.67% 18.88% 19% 21.39% 22.22% 22.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.6% 4.62% 5.14% 6.03% 5.87% 7.91% 8.68% 9.04%
EBT Margin (%) 6.35% 3.19% 1.32% -1.5% - 3.31% 5.8% 6.04%
Net margin (%) 5% 2.45% -1.2% -2.25% 1.45% 3.23% 4.09% 4.57%
FCF margin (%) 4.61% 1.86% 3.64% 1.82% 8% 3.5% 4.09% 4.37%
FCF / Net Income (%) 92.22% 75.9% -302.86% -81.13% 552.32% 108.45% 99.82% 95.67%

Profitability

        
ROA - - - - - 2.6% 3.3% 3.5%
ROE 11.93% 5.27% -2.64% -5.56% 3.44% 7.2% 8.7% 9.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.4x 2.38x 2.19x 1.49x 1.88x 1.15x 0.88x 0.64x
Debt / Free cash flow 10.39x 22.15x 10.63x 15.46x 4.47x 7.02x 4.79x 3.31x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.34% 13.7% 12.25% 13.74% 11.39% 12.29% 12.3% 12.37%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 61.86% 79.14% 69.36% 72.77% 59.95% 57.46% 55.36% 54.99%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 267.78% 736.32% 336.51% 753.57% 142.45% 350.87% 301.07% 282.85%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.964 6.331 7.195 7.431 7.66 7.349 8.697 8.695
Change - -9.09% 13.64% 3.28% 3.08% -4.05% 18.34% -0.03%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 16.84 20.88 21.64 20.61 20.51 21.17 22.65 24.46
Change - 24% 3.66% -4.76% -0.47% 3.2% 6.99% 7.99%
EPS 1 1.9 1 -0.5 -1.1 0.7 1.525 2 2.32
Change - -47.37% -150% -120% 163.64% 117.86% 31.15% 16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 13,796 13,660 13,638 13,712 13,768 13,731 13,731 13,731
Announcement Date 3/24/22 3/23/23 3/27/24 3/27/25 3/26/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.64x 5.06x
PBR 0.48x 0.45x
EV / Sales 0.46x 0.4x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
10.12EUR
Average target price
15.50EUR
Spread / Average Target
+53.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise