Projected Income Statement: Castellum AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Castellum AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 69,632 75,991 59,583 56,233 56,899 53,995 53,469 52,145
Change - 9.13% -21.59% -5.62% 1.18% -5.1% -0.97% -2.48%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/13/23 2/14/24 2/18/25 2/18/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Castellum AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,799 5,548 3,461 2,502 3,166 2,554 1,899 1,616
Change - 46.04% -37.62% -27.71% 26.54% -19.34% -25.64% -14.88%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -11,369 944 1,352 1,794 755 1,576 2,143 2,249
Change - 108.3% 43.22% 32.69% -57.92% 108.74% 35.98% 4.95%
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/13/23 2/14/24 2/18/25 2/18/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Castellum AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 65.67% 61.89% 62.85% 66.45% 65.26% 70.24% 71.23% 70.92%
EBIT Margin (%) 65.67% 61.89% 62.85% 66.45% 65.26% 72.51% 72.84% 73.22%
EBT Margin (%) 186.83% 24.87% -148.97% 28.03% 13.91% 60.5% 60.49% 60.38%
Net margin (%) 186.18% 19.45% -118.21% 23.93% 9.78% 49% 48.27% 49.76%
FCF margin (%) -178.95% 10.49% 13.79% 18.22% 7.87% 17.29% 23.96% 24.61%
FCF / Net Income (%) -96.12% 53.94% -11.66% 76.11% 80.49% 35.28% 49.64% 49.45%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.23% 0.98% -6.84% 1.49% 2.81% 2.79% 3.03% 3.19%
ROE 22.7% 2.2% 5.49% 3% 5.6% 5.46% 5.29% 5.31%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 16.69x 13.65x 9.67x 8.59x 9.09x 8.43x 8.39x 8.05x
Debt / Free cash flow -6.12x 80.5x 44.07x 31.35x 75.36x 34.26x 24.95x 23.19x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 59.8% 61.67% 35.29% 25.4% 33% 28.01% 21.23% 17.69%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 91.06% 99.64% 56.16% 38.23% 50.58% 39.88% 29.81% 24.94%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -33.42% 587.71% 255.99% 139.46% 419.34% 162.04% 88.61% 71.88%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 7.966 6.976 7.778 7.713
Change - - - - - -12.43% 11.5% -0.84%
Dividend per Share 1 7.6 - - 2.48 - 2.428 2.632 2.677
Change - - - - - - 8.38% 1.73%
Book Value Per Share 1 243.6 240.5 156.7 160.8 159 158.6 167 177.8
Change - -1.25% -34.86% 2.61% -1.09% -0.22% 5.25% 6.46%
EPS 1 41.81 5.29 -25.68 4.79 1.91 9.889 11.02 12.47
Change - -87.35% -585.44% 118.65% -60.13% 417.73% 11.45% 13.11%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 340,544 328,401 492,601 492,446 492,102 453,082 453,082 453,082
Announcement Date 2/16/22 2/13/23 2/14/24 2/18/25 2/18/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.8x 11.5x
PBR 0.8x 0.76x
EV / Sales 12.2x 12.4x
Yield 1.92% 2.08%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
12
Last Close Price
126.80SEK
Average target price
131.33SEK
Spread / Average Target
+3.58%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise