Projected Income Statement: Canon Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -180,131 44,407 12,169 17,065 360,178 307,234 221,768 136,287
Change - 124.65% -72.6% 40.23% 2,010.62% -14.7% -27.82% -38.55%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 179,000 183,291 231,725 256,267 249,530 266,667 250,833 248,000
Change - 2.4% 26.42% 10.59% -2.63% 6.87% -5.94% -1.13%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 273,678 81,783 175,818 350,564 226,373 277,025 296,718 324,731
Change - -70.12% 114.98% 99.39% -35.43% 22.38% 7.11% 9.44%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.32% 14.38% 14.69% 11.42% 15.02% 14.59% 14.6% 15.04%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.02% 8.77% 8.98% 6.2% 9.85% 9.58% 9.96% 10.33%
EBT Margin (%) 8.62% 8.74% 9.35% 6.68% 10.42% 10.08% 10.26% 10.62%
Net margin (%) 6.11% 6.05% 6.33% 3.55% 7.18% 6.92% 6.93% 7.16%
FCF margin (%) 7.79% 2.03% 4.21% 7.77% 4.89% 5.8% 6% 6.44%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.46% 33.52% 66.47% 219.07% 68.17% 83.85% 86.67% 89.99%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.46% 7.16% 7.43% 2.86% 8.1% 6.68% 6.6% 7.21%
ROE 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 4.75% 9.7% 9.39% 9.64% 10.03%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.08x 0.02x 0.03x 0.52x 0.44x 0.31x 0.18x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.54x 0.07x 0.05x 1.59x 1.11x 0.75x 0.42x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.09% 4.55% 5.54% 5.68% 5.4% 5.59% 5.08% 4.92%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.57% 31.61% 37.74% 49.74% 35.92% 38.29% 34.77% 32.73%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.41% 224.12% 131.8% 73.1% 110.23% 96.26% 84.54% 76.37%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 416.9 456.5 502.6 627.4 632.2 614.6 712.3 770.3
Change - 9.48% 10.11% 24.83% 0.77% -2.79% 15.9% 8.14%
Dividend per Share 1 100 120 140 155 160 162.3 172.1 179.1
Change - 20% 16.67% 10.71% 3.23% 1.47% 5.99% 4.07%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,748 3,066 3,395 3,495 3,975 4,118 4,339 4,595
Change - 11.56% 10.73% 2.94% 13.74% 3.6% 5.36% 5.91%
EPS 1 205.4 236.7 264.2 165.5 367.5 375.3 403.4 431.7
Change - 15.27% 11.61% -37.35% 122% 2.14% 7.49% 6.99%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,045,773 1,015,514 987,800 943,995 878,626 849,339 849,339 849,339
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.2x 11.4x
PBR 1.12x 1.06x
EV / Sales 0.88x 0.83x
Yield 3.53% 3.75%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
4,593.00JPY
Average target price
4,777.27JPY
Spread / Average Target
+4.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise