Projected Income Statement: Canon Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -180,131 44,407 12,169 17,065 360,178 324,367 273,548 146,314
Change - 124.65% -72.6% 40.23% 2,010.62% -9.94% -15.67% -46.51%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 179,000 183,291 231,725 256,267 249,530 260,714 254,167 252,000
Change - 2.4% 26.42% 10.59% -2.63% 4.48% -2.51% -0.85%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 273,678 81,783 175,818 350,564 226,373 276,175 302,112 324,424
Change - -70.12% 114.98% 99.39% -35.43% 22% 9.39% 7.39%
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Canon Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.32% 14.38% 14.69% 11.42% 15.02% 14.27% 14.88% 15.28%
EBIT Margin (%) 8.02% 8.77% 8.98% 6.2% 9.85% 9.42% 10.13% 10.49%
EBT Margin (%) 8.62% 8.74% 9.35% 6.68% 10.42% 9.81% 10.47% 10.81%
Net margin (%) 6.11% 6.05% 6.33% 3.55% 7.18% 6.69% 7.09% 7.3%
FCF margin (%) 7.79% 2.03% 4.21% 7.77% 4.89% 5.79% 6.16% 6.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 127.46% 33.52% 66.47% 219.07% 68.17% 86.49% 86.94% 88.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.46% 7.16% 7.43% 2.86% 8.1% 5.92% 7.05% 7.21%
ROE 7.9% 8.1% 8.2% 4.75% 9.7% 9.26% 9.9% 10.16%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.08x 0.02x 0.03x 0.52x 0.48x 0.38x 0.19x
Debt / Free cash flow - 0.54x 0.07x 0.05x 1.59x 1.17x 0.91x 0.45x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.09% 4.55% 5.54% 5.68% 5.4% 5.46% 5.19% 5.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 35.57% 31.61% 37.74% 49.74% 35.92% 38.3% 34.86% 32.98%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 65.41% 224.12% 131.8% 73.1% 110.23% 94.4% 84.13% 77.68%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 416.9 456.5 502.6 627.4 632.2 639 714.7 770.6
Change - 9.48% 10.11% 24.83% 0.77% 1.07% 11.84% 7.82%
Dividend per Share 1 100 120 140 155 160 162.3 171.6 179.1
Change - 20% 16.67% 10.71% 3.23% 1.47% 5.71% 4.35%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,748 3,066 3,395 3,495 3,975 4,134 4,326 4,582
Change - 11.56% 10.73% 2.94% 13.74% 4.01% 4.63% 5.92%
EPS 1 205.4 236.7 264.2 165.5 367.5 364.2 408.3 435.2
Change - 15.27% 11.61% -37.35% 122% -0.9% 12.12% 6.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,045,773 1,015,514 987,800 943,995 878,626 849,306 849,306 849,306
Announcement Date 1/27/22 1/30/23 1/30/24 1/30/25 1/29/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 12.1x 10.8x
PBR 1.07x 1.02x
EV / Sales 0.85x 0.82x
Yield 3.67% 3.88%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
4,419.00JPY
Average target price
4,777.27JPY
Spread / Average Target
+8.11%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise