Projected Income Statement: BP plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 15,686 9,277 10,052
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -29.29% -40.86% 8.35%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,711 13,842 14,010
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -5.66% 0.95% 1.21%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 20,716 15,183 11,517
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 107.99% -26.71% -24.15%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 21.84% 20.17% 18.76%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 14.59% 11.85% 10.16%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 12.69% 9.89% 8.51%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 6.61% 5.49% 5.13%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 9.17% 7.39% 5.71%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 138.64% 134.55% 111.36%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 5.11% 4.1% 3.6%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 27.62% 18.2% 15.35%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.32x 0.22x 0.27x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 0.76x 0.61x 0.87x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.07% 6.74% 6.95%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 27.79% 33.39% 37.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 66.19% 91.17% 121.64%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.402 1.916 1.787
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 56.04% -20.23% -6.72%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3409 0.3554 0.3711
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.44% 4.25% 4.41%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 4.153 4.445 4.627
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 20.39% 7.01% 4.11%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 1.019 0.7233 0.6837
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 29,862.35% -29% -5.47%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,452,390 15,452,390 15,452,390
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.26x 10.2x
PBR 1.78x 1.66x
EV / Sales 0.58x 0.6x
Yield 4.61% 4.81%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
7.395USD
Average target price
8.332USD
Spread / Average Target
+12.67%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise