Projected Income Statement: BP plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: BP plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 38,826 21,422 20,912 22,997 22,182 17,185 11,796 10,878
Change - -44.83% -2.38% 9.97% -3.54% -22.53% -31.36% -7.78%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BP plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 10,887 16,330 14,285 15,297 14,533 13,478 13,788 13,990
Change - 50% -12.52% 7.08% -4.99% -7.26% 2.3% 1.46%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 12,725 24,602 17,754 12,000 9,960 16,394 14,115 12,230
Change - 93.34% -27.84% -32.41% -17% 64.59% -13.9% -13.35%
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BP plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.55% 25.01% 20.45% 19.69% 19.69% 20.42% 20.21% 19.29%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.16% 19.07% 12.87% 10.9% 10.27% 12.56% 11.49% 10.58%
EBT Margin (%) 9.65% 6.38% 11.3% 3.58% 4.09% 11.51% 9.32% 8.54%
Net margin (%) 4.8% -1.03% 7.25% 0.2% 0.03% 6.25% 5.32% 5.01%
FCF margin (%) 8.07% 10.19% 8.45% 6.34% 5.26% 7.4% 7.14% 6.14%
FCF / Net Income (%) 168.21% -989.22% 116.5% 3,149.61% 18,109.09% 118.47% 134.35% 122.49%

Profitability

        
ROA 2.73% 9.61% 4.87% 3.17% 2.67% 4.41% 3.83% 3.32%
ROE 10.31% 38.67% 20.08% 13.77% 13.33% 21.94% 15.51% 14.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.05x 0.35x 0.49x 0.62x 0.6x 0.38x 0.3x 0.28x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.05x 0.87x 1.18x 1.92x 2.23x 1.05x 0.84x 0.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.9% 6.76% 6.8% 8.09% 7.68% 6.08% 6.98% 7.02%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 29.31% 27.05% 33.25% 41.07% 38.99% 29.79% 34.52% 36.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 85.56% 66.38% 80.46% 127.48% 145.91% 82.21% 97.68% 114.38%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.165 2.156 1.805 1.623 1.539 2.092 1.843 1.798
Change - 84.98% -16.27% -10.07% -5.18% 35.94% -11.94% -2.42%
Dividend per Share 1 0.2163 0.2408 0.2842 0.3127 0.3296 0.3423 0.3583 0.372
Change - 11.34% 18.01% 10.03% 5.4% 3.86% 4.67% 3.82%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.725 3.558 4.177 3.738 3.45 3.913 4.137 4.514
Change - -4.48% 17.41% -10.52% -7.7% 13.43% 5.71% 9.13%
EPS 1 0.3733 -0.131 0.8585 0.0232 0.0034 0.8742 0.6832 0.6658
Change - -135.09% 755.34% -97.3% -85.34% 25,611.76% -21.85% -2.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 19,593,397 18,157,212 16,930,452 15,828,940 15,297,154 15,450,744 15,450,744 15,450,744
Announcement Date 2/8/22 2/7/23 2/6/24 2/11/25 2/10/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.15x 9.15x
PBR 1.6x 1.51x
EV / Sales 0.52x 0.56x
Yield 5.48% 5.74%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
6.248USD
Average target price
8.073USD
Spread / Average Target
+29.21%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise