Projected Income Statement: Balder

Forecast Balance Sheet: Balder

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 114,902 126,228 126,802 132,408 132,798 138,214 137,461 136,156
Change - 9.86% 0.45% 4.42% 0.29% 4.08% -0.54% -0.95%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Balder

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,420 10,742 7,517 2,833 2,612 6,399 5,086 3,476
Change - 44.77% -30.02% -62.31% -7.8% 144.99% -20.51% -31.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -28,353 -7,865 -1,352 1,905 1,427 2,957 2,983 3,072
Change - 72.26% 82.81% 240.9% -25.09% 107.22% 0.88% 2.98%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Balder

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 66.18% 64.41% 72.2% 66.27% 66.72% 71.6% 71.21% 71.49%
EBIT Margin (%) 72.35% 64.25% 72.07% 65.43% 66.05% 75.26% 75.09% 74.98%
EBT Margin (%) 254.37% 123.45% -74.97% 36.39% 69.83% 58.34% 57.94% 60.38%
Net margin (%) 206.65% 96.71% -56.48% 25.66% 55.54% 36.91% 38.51% 38.19%
FCF margin (%) -316.58% -74.76% -11.32% 14.79% 10.4% 20.83% 20.26% 20.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) -153.19% -77.3% 20.04% 57.66% 18.72% 56.44% 52.62% 53.08%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.02% 6.1% -2.2% 1.27% - - - -
ROE 27.25% 12.1% -7.8% 3.9% 8.4% 5.18% 5.35% 5.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 19.39x 18.63x 14.7x 15.52x 14.51x 13.6x 13.11x 12.57x
Debt / Free cash flow -4.05x -16.05x -93.79x 69.51x 93.06x 46.74x 46.08x 44.32x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 82.85% 102.1% 62.94% 22% 19.04% 45.08% 34.55% 22.94%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 125.19% 158.51% 87.16% 33.2% 28.53% 62.97% 48.52% 32.09%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -26.17% -136.58% -555.99% 148.71% 183.04% 216.41% 170.52% 113.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 3.395 3.662 3.655 3.457
Change - - - - - 7.86% -0.19% -5.41%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 69.35 78.16 71.33 74.3 79.13 84.51 91.34 97.96
Change - 12.7% -8.74% 4.16% 6.5% 6.8% 8.08% 7.24%
EPS 1 16.54 9.09 -5.85 2.82 5.86 5.488 6.033 6.583
Change - -45.04% -164.36% 148.21% 107.8% -6.34% 9.92% 9.12%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,119,000 1,154,000 1,154,000 1,190,000 1,190,000 1,180,000 1,180,000 1,180,000
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.49x 8.63x
PBR 0.62x 0.57x
EV / Sales 14.1x 13.5x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
52.06SEK
Average target price
66.71SEK
Spread / Average Target
+28.15%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise