Projected Income Statement: Balder

Forecast Balance Sheet: Balder

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 114,902 126,228 126,802 132,408 132,798 136,507 135,736 134,431
Change - 9.86% 0.45% 4.42% 0.29% 2.79% -0.56% -0.96%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Balder

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,420 10,742 7,517 2,833 2,612 6,399 5,086 3,476
Change - 44.77% -30.02% -62.31% -7.8% 144.99% -20.51% -31.66%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -28,353 -7,865 -1,352 1,905 1,427 2,957 2,983 3,072
Change - 72.26% 82.81% 240.9% -25.09% 107.22% 0.88% 2.98%
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Balder

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 66.18% 64.41% 72.2% 66.27% 66.72% 70.57% 71.26% 71.52%
EBIT Margin (%) 72.35% 64.25% 72.07% 65.43% 66.05% 74.71% 75.15% 75.02%
EBT Margin (%) 254.37% 123.45% -74.97% 36.39% 69.83% 59% 58.22% 60.76%
Net margin (%) 206.65% 96.71% -56.48% 25.66% 55.54% 41.21% 38.69% 38.08%
FCF margin (%) -316.58% -74.76% -11.32% 14.79% 10.4% 20.83% 20.32% 20.32%
FCF / Net Income (%) -153.19% -77.3% 20.04% 57.66% 18.72% 50.55% 52.52% 53.36%

Profitability

        
ROA 9.02% 6.1% -2.2% 1.27% - - - -
ROE 27.25% 12.1% -7.8% 3.9% 8.4% 5.75% 5.35% 5.12%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 19.39x 18.63x 14.7x 15.52x 14.51x 13.63x 12.98x 12.43x
Debt / Free cash flow -4.05x -16.05x -93.79x 69.51x 93.06x 46.16x 45.5x 43.76x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 82.85% 102.1% 62.94% 22% 19.04% 45.08% 34.65% 23%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 125.19% 158.51% 87.16% 33.2% 28.53% 63.89% 48.63% 32.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -26.17% -136.58% -555.99% 148.71% 183.04% 216.41% 170.52% 113.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 3.395 3.662 3.655 3.457
Change - - - - - 7.86% -0.19% -5.41%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 69.35 78.16 71.33 74.3 79.13 84.8 91.15 97.88
Change - 12.7% -8.74% 4.16% 6.5% 7.17% 7.49% 7.38%
EPS 1 16.54 9.09 -5.85 2.82 5.86 5.331 5.782 6.278
Change - -45.04% -164.36% 148.21% 107.8% -9.03% 8.47% 8.58%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,119,000 1,154,000 1,154,000 1,190,000 1,190,000 1,180,000 1,180,000 1,180,000
Announcement Date 2/11/22 2/10/23 2/9/24 2/7/25 2/6/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 9.45x 8.72x
PBR 0.59x 0.55x
EV / Sales 13.8x 13.3x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
50.40SEK
Average target price
68.14SEK
Spread / Average Target
+35.20%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

-40%: Exceptional extension
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