Projected Income Statement: ASOS Plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -200 153 320 297 185 101 64 16.1
Change - 176.5% 109.15% -7.19% -37.71% -45.32% -36.63% -74.84%
Announcement Date 10/11/21 10/19/22 11/1/23 11/5/24 11/21/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 157.1 182.9 177.9 133.5 85.9 92.79 95.28 96.56
Change - 16.42% -2.73% -24.96% -35.66% 8.03% 2.68% 1.34%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 58 -303.3 -161.5 94.5 14.1 3.128 33.26 43.35
Change - -622.93% 46.75% 158.51% -85.08% -77.81% 963.08% 30.36%
Announcement Date 10/11/21 10/19/22 11/1/23 11/5/24 11/21/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ASOS Plc

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 8.33% 3.56% 3.51% 2.76% 5.31% 7.03% 7.65% 7.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.28% 1.12% -0.82% -2.8% -1.3% -0.33% 0.66% 1.29%
EBT Margin (%) 4.53% -0.81% -8.36% -13.05% -11.36% -3.02% -2.59% -1.86%
Net margin (%) 3.28% -0.78% -6.29% -11.66% -12.04% -0.29% -1.97% -1.82%
FCF margin (%) 1.48% -7.7% -4.55% 3.25% 0.57% 0.14% 1.47% 1.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 45.17% 984.74% 72.39% -27.9% -4.73% -48.38% -74.62% -102.73%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.76% 0.72% -1.88% -5.04% -4.86% -5.87% -1.69% -0.97%
ROE 15.22% 2.07% -5.62% -17.78% -26.14% -29.26% -11.92% -6.28%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 1.09x 2.57x 3.71x 1.4x 0.64x 0.37x 0.09x
Debt / Free cash flow - -0.5x -1.98x 3.14x 13.1x 32.38x 1.92x 0.37x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.02% 4.65% 5.01% 4.59% 3.47% 4.13% 4.2% 4.16%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 48.25% 130.64% 142.89% 166.67% 65.27% 58.65% 54.9% 52.14%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 270.86% -60.3% -110.15% 141.27% 609.22% 2,966.19% 286.51% 222.73%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.025 -1.208 0.1566 1.915 1.334 1.073 1.061 1.188
Change - -159.63% 112.97% 1,122.61% -30.34% -19.54% -1.09% 11.95%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 10.38 10.18 8.276 4.375 1.78 1.957 1.966 2.333
Change - -1.95% -18.71% -47.14% -59.3% 9.92% 0.44% 18.68%
EPS 1 1.255 -0.309 -2.13 -2.844 -2.501 -0.4336 -0.3733 -0.2763
Change - -124.62% -589.32% -33.52% 12.06% 82.66% 13.91% 25.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 99,592 99,704 119,008 119,106 119,347 119,720 119,720 119,720
Announcement Date 10/11/21 10/19/22 11/1/23 11/5/24 11/21/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -8.37x -9.72x
PBR 1.85x 1.85x
EV / Sales 0.24x 0.22x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
3.630GBP
Average target price
3.508GBP
Spread / Average Target
-3.35%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise