Projected Income Statement: ASMPT Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: ASMPT Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -1,983 -2,013 -2,434 -1,737 -2,272 -3,898 -4,795 -6,935
Change - -1.51% -20.91% 28.64% -30.8% -71.55% -23.01% -44.63%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 3/4/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: ASMPT Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 350.6 377.1 343.9 393.7 501.8 548.4 474.2
Change - - -8.8% 14.48% 27.45% 9.28% -13.52%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,976 1,971 575.6 -151.2 663 1,498 2,226
Change - - -70.79% -126.27% 538.45% 125.87% 48.61%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/27/24 2/25/25 3/4/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: ASMPT Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.23% 20.53% 12.37% 9.57% 9.54% 17.01% 18.65% 20.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 18.87% 16.71% 7.51% 3.87% 4.47% 13.33% 15.28% 17.07%
EBT Margin (%) 18.65% 17.63% 7.05% 3.79% 8.85% 13.01% 15.26% 17.48%
Net margin (%) 14.44% 13.53% 4.87% 2.61% 6.57% 9.53% 11.56% 13.19%
FCF margin (%) 9% - 13.41% 4.35% -1.1% 3.47% 6.7% 8.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 62.34% - 275.51% 166.72% -16.76% 36.43% 57.94% 66.09%

Profitability

        
ROA 12.76% 10.22% 2.94% 1.45% 1.87% 6.67% 8.75% 10.24%
ROE 22.28% 16.9% 4.55% 2.24% 2.9% 10.23% 13.4% 16.27%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.6% - 2.57% 2.6% 2.87% 2.63% 2.45% 1.86%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 7.19% - 20.75% 27.17% 30.05% 15.45% 13.15% 9.08%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 17.75% - 19.13% 59.75% -260.38% 75.69% 36.62% 21.31%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 5.642 - 5.67 2.452 0.5808 3.973 5.831 6.644
Change - - - -56.76% -76.31% 584.09% 46.75% 13.95%
Dividend per Share 1 3.9 3.2 0.87 0.42 0.6 2.204 2.985 4.149
Change - -17.95% -72.81% -51.72% 42.86% 267.32% 35.43% 39.02%
Book Value Per Share 1 37.2 38.37 37.85 36.47 40.75 43.86 48.28 55.03
Change - 3.17% -1.35% -3.66% 11.75% 7.63% 10.08% 13.98%
EPS 1 7.69 6.33 1.73 0.83 2.16 4.368 6.206 8.112
Change - -17.69% -72.67% -52.02% 160.24% 102.21% 42.09% 30.71%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 412,705 412,572 414,505 416,459 417,780 419,408 419,408 419,408
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/28/23 2/27/24 2/25/25 3/4/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 37x 26x
PBR 3.68x 3.35x
EV / Sales 3.35x 2.82x
Yield 1.36% 1.85%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
161.60HKD
Average target price
196.99HKD
Spread / Average Target
+21.90%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise