Projected Income Statement: Asia Aviation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 39,780 42,957 41,777 7,833 7,893 -2,765 -3,674 -4,609
Change - 7.99% -2.75% -81.25% 0.77% -135.03% -32.88% -25.45%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/24/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 99.6 596.4 - 346.2 516.6 8,555 5,806 6,420
Change - 498.83% - - 49.22% 1,555.89% -32.14% 10.58%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -4,447 -32.42 5,937 7,090 9,188 -2,311 6,626 5,280
Change - 99.27% 18,414.28% 19.4% 29.6% -125.15% 386.72% -20.31%
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/24/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Asia Aviation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -200.72% -5.14% 15.65% 21.84% 22.43% 17.96% 18.08% 13.79%
EBIT Margin (%) -309.54% -48.29% 3.55% 13.55% 11.75% 5.69% 6.96% 7.42%
EBT Margin (%) -357.82% -60.76% 1.28% 8.46% 6.24% 2.63% 4.14% 6.2%
Net margin (%) -173.63% -45.75% 1.13% 7.04% 5.11% 1.99% 2.61% 2.74%
FCF margin (%) -116.15% -0.18% 14.4% 14.34% 20.11% -4.74% 12.73% 9.54%
FCF / Net Income (%) 66.89% 0.4% 1,274.63% 203.85% 393.28% -238.24% 487.44% 348.4%

Profitability

        
ROA -9.55% -11.82% 0.7% 4.86% 3.1% 1.24% 1.82% 2.4%
ROE -51.57% -57.04% 5.69% 35.15% 18.7% 6.88% 8.76% 6.58%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) -5.18x -47.65x 6.47x 0.73x 0.77x - - -
Debt / Free cash flow -8.95x -1,325.03x 7.04x 1.1x 0.86x - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.6% 3.4% - 0.7% 1.13% 17.54% 11.15% 11.6%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -1.3% -66.16% - 3.21% 5.04% 97.7% 61.68% 84.15%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -2.24% -1,839.73% - 4.88% 5.62% -370.19% 87.62% 121.59%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.8392 0.0486 0.5076 0.5808 0.7552 0.2 - 0.1
Change - 105.79% 944.29% 14.41% 30.03% -73.52% - -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - 0.0167 0.07
Change - - - - - - - 319.92%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.045 0.6539 0.6844 0.8856 1.055 1.113 1.185 1.122
Change - -68.02% 4.67% 29.39% 19.13% 5.53% 6.44% -5.27%
EPS 1 -1.283 -0.6921 0.0379 0.2707 0.1818 0.077 0.1047 0.1167
Change - 46.07% 105.48% 614.25% -32.84% -57.67% 36.04% 11.45%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 9,878,571 12,164,286 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000 12,850,000
Announcement Date 2/24/22 2/24/23 2/22/24 2/25/25 2/24/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E Ratio 14x 10.3x
PBR 0.97x 0.91x
EV / Sales 0.23x 0.2x
Yield - 1.54%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
9
Last Close Price
1.080THB
Average target price
1.114THB
Spread / Average Target
+3.19%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. AAV Stock
  4. Financials Asia Aviation
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