Projected Income Statement: AP (Thailand)

Forecast Balance Sheet: AP (Thailand)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 18,877 21,120 32,043 29,795 22,862 29,111 27,829 25,396
Change - 11.88% 51.72% -7.02% -23.27% 27.33% -4.4% -8.74%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AP (Thailand)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 113.2 127.9 74.36 541.5 50.02 543.6 559.6 326.5
Change - 12.98% -41.87% 628.27% -90.76% 986.67% 2.94% -41.65%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,918 -2,032 -10,910 2,535 1,786 2,884 3,429 3,267
Change - -205.94% -437.02% 123.23% -29.53% 61.44% 18.9% -4.7%
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AP (Thailand)

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 14.97% 15.83% 17.09% 15.44% 14.55% 14.25% 14.23% 14.97%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.68% 15.08% 16.32% 14.7% 13.92% 13.47% 13.52% 14.29%
EBT Margin (%) 17.02% 18.44% 19.34% 16.68% 14.08% 14.3% 15% 15.31%
Net margin (%) 14.29% 15.25% 15.91% 13.57% 11.56% 11.91% 12.38% 12.75%
FCF margin (%) 6.03% -5.27% -28.68% 6.85% 4.78% 7.4% 8.46% 7.79%
FCF / Net Income (%) 42.21% -34.57% -180.2% 50.49% 41.38% 62.14% 68.32% 61.06%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.63% 9.14% 7.96% 5.95% 5.06% 5.45% 5.7% 6.01%
ROE 14.72% 16.99% 15.62% 11.89% 9.62% 9.75% 9.93% 9.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.97x 3.46x 4.93x 5.22x 4.21x 5.24x 4.83x 4.04x
Debt / Free cash flow 9.84x -10.4x -2.94x 11.75x 12.8x 10.1x 8.12x 7.77x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.36% 0.33% 0.2% 1.46% 0.13% 1.39% 1.38% 0.78%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 2.38% 2.1% 1.14% 9.48% 0.92% 9.78% 9.7% 5.2%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 5.9% -6.3% -0.68% 21.36% 2.8% 18.85% 16.32% 9.99%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.64 -0.6051 -3.444 0.9778 0.5837 1.187 1.251 1.16
Change - -194.55% -469.23% 128.39% -40.3% 103.3% 5.45% -7.3%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.65 0.7 0.6 0.52 0.5416 0.598 0.6429
Change - 30% 7.69% -14.29% -13.33% 4.16% 10.4% 7.51%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.31 11.68 12.96 13.88 14.65 15.59 16.62 17.64
Change - 13.27% 10.91% 7.13% 5.56% 6.43% 6.61% 6.11%
EPS 1 1.44 1.87 1.92 1.6 1.37 1.472 1.594 1.699
Change - 29.86% 2.67% -16.67% -14.38% 7.43% 8.33% 6.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899 3,145,899
Announcement Date 2/22/22 2/21/23 2/20/24 2/27/25 2/27/26 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 5.2x 4.8x
PBR 0.49x 0.46x
EV / Sales 1.36x 1.28x
Yield 7.08% 7.82%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
7.550THB
Average target price
9.627THB
Spread / Average Target
+27.51%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. AP Stock
  4. Financials AP (Thailand)