Projected Income Statement: XPeng Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -35,893 -6,814 -11,587 -8,313 -4,621 -14,811 -18,071 -22,720
Change - 81.02% -70.05% 28.26% 44.41% -220.53% -22.01% -25.73%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,300 4,680 2,312 2,226 3,156 3,070 3,093 3,127
Change - 103.5% -50.61% -3.69% 41.77% -2.71% 0.74% 1.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -3,394 -12,508 -1,355 -4,238 5,103 -6,780 5,915 6,360
Change - -268.51% 89.16% -212.72% 220.39% -232.87% 187.23% 7.53%
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: XPeng Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) -27.36% -27.16% -28.63% -10% 0.28% -1.5% 2.05% 4.17%
EBIT Margin (%) -31.35% -32.42% -35.5% -16.29% -3.61% -4.97% -0.89% 1.21%
EBT Margin (%) -23.05% -33.95% -33.88% -14.27% -1.51% -4.48% 0.11% 2.27%
Net margin (%) -23.17% -34.03% -33.82% -14.17% -1.49% -4.41% -0.09% 2.11%
FCF margin (%) -16.17% -46.58% -4.42% -10.37% 6.65% -7.79% 5.37% 4.88%
FCF / Net Income (%) 69.8% 136.87% 13.06% 73.2% -447.81% 176.73% -6,292.57% 230.77%

Profitability

        
ROA -8.81% -13.33% -13.33% -6.94% -1.23% -3.81% 1.03% 3.53%
ROE -12.7% -23.12% -28.33% -17.13% -3.7% -13.99% 3.35% 10.42%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 10.96% 17.43% 7.54% 5.45% 4.11% 3.53% 2.81% 2.4%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) -40.05% -64.15% -26.32% -54.49% 1,457.45% -235.19% 137.13% 57.49%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -67.75% -37.41% -170.55% -52.52% 61.85% -45.28% 52.3% 49.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -1.332 -9.614 1.098 -2.128 4.338 -1.483 9.458 4.238
Change - -621.52% 111.42% -293.81% 303.83% -134.2% 737.58% -55.19%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 51.31 42.91 38.57 33.07 31.9 28.23 28.85 30.08
Change - -16.37% -10.12% -14.25% -3.54% -11.49% 2.18% 4.25%
EPS 1 -5.92 -10.67 -11.92 -6.12 -1.2 -3.507 -0.1764 2.544
Change - -80.24% -11.72% 48.66% 80.39% -192.23% 94.97% 1,542.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 843,413 856,765 939,549 948,803 954,674 956,972 956,972 956,972
Announcement Date 3/28/22 3/17/23 3/19/24 3/18/25 3/20/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E -17.7x -352x
PBR 2.2x 2.15x
EV / Sales 0.51x 0.37x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
62.02CNY
Average target price
123.39CNY
Spread / Average Target
+98.95%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise