Projected Income Statement: Whitbread plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Whitbread plc

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 3,561 3,787 4,397 4,717 5,232 5,194 5,173 5,159
Change - 6.35% 16.11% 7.28% 10.92% -0.73% -0.4% -0.27%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/25/23 4/30/24 5/1/25 4/30/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Whitbread plc

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 200.4 482 479.9 478.6 677.5 726.8 492.3 478
Change - 140.52% -0.44% -0.27% 41.56% 7.27% -32.26% -2.9%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 287.2 317.9 398 283.1 75.3 387.6 327.2 383.8
Change - 10.69% 25.2% -28.87% -73.4% 414.69% -15.58% 17.32%
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/25/23 4/30/24 5/1/25 4/30/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Whitbread plc

Fiscal Period: February 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 28.19% 33.83% 35.71% 35.25% 36.78% 35.8% 36.8% 37.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 9% 20.7% 22.78% 21.55% 22.22% 20.59% 21.52% 22.15%
EBT Margin (%) 3.42% 14.28% 15.26% 12.59% 10.22% 13.87% 14.67% 15.13%
Net margin (%) 2.5% 10.62% 10.54% 8.68% 7.29% 10.47% 11% 11.18%
FCF margin (%) 16.86% 12.11% 13.45% 9.69% 2.58% 13.3% 10.86% 12.17%
FCF / Net Income (%) 675.76% 114.02% 127.52% 111.59% 35.37% 127.06% 98.75% 108.86%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.46% 3.36% 4.12% 3.59% 3.7% 3.05% 3.17% 3.46%
ROE -0.13% 7.98% 10.52% 10.18% 11.12% 9.26% 10.66% 10.59%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 7.42x 4.26x 4.16x 4.58x 4.87x 4.98x 4.67x 4.38x
Debt / Free cash flow 12.4x 11.91x 11.05x 16.66x 69.48x 13.4x 15.81x 13.44x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 11.76% 18.36% 16.21% 16.38% 23.2% 24.95% 16.35% 15.15%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 41.73% 54.28% 45.4% 46.47% 63.08% 69.69% 44.43% 40.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 69.78% 151.62% 120.58% 169.06% 899.73% 187.52% 150.46% 124.53%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.507 3.944 4.497 4.22 4.329 3.858 4.176 4.551
Change - 57.32% 14.02% -6.17% 2.58% -10.89% 8.25% 8.98%
Dividend per Share 1 0.347 0.742 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.9318 0.9854 1.068
Change - 113.83% 30.73% 0% 0% -3.94% 5.75% 8.39%
Book Value Per Share 1 20.39 20.34 19.03 18.91 18.71 19.36 19.95 20.7
Change - -0.23% -6.44% -0.63% -1.06% 3.47% 3.01% 3.76%
EPS 1 0.209 1.375 1.599 1.406 1.224 1.79 1.959 2.12
Change - 557.89% 16.29% -12.07% -12.94% 46.25% 9.45% 8.21%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 201,600 201,828 183,667 175,524 166,942 167,142 167,142 167,142
Announcement Date 4/28/22 4/25/23 4/30/24 5/1/25 4/30/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 13x 11.9x
PBR 1.2x 1.17x
EV / Sales 3.12x 3.01x
Yield 4% 4.23%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
23.30GBP
Average target price
26.56GBP
Spread / Average Target
+14.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise