Projected Income Statement: Vonovia SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Vonovia SE

Forecast Balance Sheet - Vonovia SE
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 46,342 43,457 42,196 41,570 40,053 39,592 39,595 39,666
Change - -6.23% -2.9% -1.48% -3.65% -1.15% 0.01% 0.18%
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/16/23 3/15/24 3/18/25 3/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Vonovia SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 872.3 2,476 1,104 1,266 2,403 2,163 2,500 2,346
Change - 183.79% -55.42% 14.7% 89.85% -10% 15.56% -6.14%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 951.6 -391.2 797.5 1,136 1,778 1,457 1,613 1,728
Change - -141.11% 303.86% 42.41% 56.6% -18.07% 10.69% 7.14%
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/16/23 3/15/24 3/18/25 3/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Vonovia SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 96.09% 87.35% 79.42% 78.99% 81.96% 83.7% 86.11% 88.09%
EBIT Margin (%) -51.36% 46.91% 65.13% 74.95% 66.91% 76.19% 84.15% 90.08%
EBT Margin (%) 232.15% -23.16% -282.33% -18.16% 73.97% 107.72% 104.84% 88%
Net margin (%) 111.87% -20.35% -193.19% -26.96% 108.95% 60.02% 65.69% 77.25%
FCF margin (%) 40.29% -12.37% 24.51% 34.17% 52.05% 41.43% 44.55% 46.33%
FCF / Net Income (%) 36.02% 60.76% -12.69% -126.75% 47.77% 69.03% 67.82% 59.98%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.13% 1.43% -6.5% -0.98% 4.06% 1.91% 1.98% 1.97%
ROE 9.2% 4.62% 6.36% 1.48% 14.47% 6% 5.76% 5.93%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 20.42x 15.73x 16.33x 15.84x 14.3x 13.45x 12.7x 12.07x
Debt / Free cash flow 48.7x -111.09x 52.91x 36.6x 22.52x 27.17x 24.55x 22.96x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 36.94% 78.25% 33.92% 38.09% 70.33% 61.5% 69.04% 62.91%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.44% 89.59% 42.72% 48.22% 85.81% 73.48% 80.17% 71.41%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 91.67% -632.8% 138.39% 111.46% 135.13% 148.45% 154.98% 135.77%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.911 2.644 2.358 2.931 2.867 2.378 2.478 2.967
Change - -9.18% -10.82% 24.3% -2.19% -17.04% 4.18% 19.75%
Dividend per Share 1 1.66 - 0.9 1.22 1.25 1.261 1.319 1.377
Change - - - 35.56% 2.46% 0.84% 4.66% 4.37%
Book Value Per Share 1 42.86 39.37 38.46 29.16 32.38 33.59 38.43 35.51
Change - -8.15% -2.31% -24.18% 11.04% 3.72% 14.43% -7.6%
EPS 1 4.22 -0.82 -7.8 -1.09 4.33 2.444 2.701 2.334
Change - -119.43% -851.22% 86.03% 497.25% -43.56% 10.52% -13.56%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 776,597 795,850 814,645 822,853 848,090 848,425 848,425 848,425
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/16/23 3/15/24 3/18/25 3/19/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.71x 6.07x
PBR 0.49x 0.43x
EV / Sales 15.2x 14.8x
Yield 7.69% 8.05%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Vonovia SE


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Vonovia SE
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Vonovia SE
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
MarketScreener Ratings - Vonovia SE
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
16.40EUR
Average target price
25.43EUR
Spread / Average Target
+55.12%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Vonovia SE
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