Projected Income Statement: Vonovia SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Vonovia SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 46,342 43,457 42,196 41,570 40,053 39,594 39,528 39,611
Change - -6.23% -2.9% -1.48% -3.65% -1.15% -0.17% 0.21%
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/16/23 3/15/24 3/18/25 3/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Vonovia SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 872.3 2,476 1,104 1,266 2,403 2,022 2,391 2,351
Change - 183.79% -55.42% 14.7% 89.85% -15.88% 18.29% -1.69%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 951.6 -391.2 797.5 1,136 1,778 1,457 1,535 1,835
Change - -141.11% 303.86% 42.41% 56.6% -18.07% 5.34% 19.55%
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/16/23 3/15/24 3/18/25 3/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Vonovia SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 96.09% 87.35% 79.42% 78.99% 81.96% 84.21% 86.74% 88.65%
EBIT Margin (%) -51.36% 46.91% 65.13% 74.95% 66.91% 74.68% 84.34% 90.08%
EBT Margin (%) 232.15% -23.16% -282.33% -18.16% 73.97% 105.51% 112.44% 123.18%
Net margin (%) 111.87% -20.35% -193.19% -26.96% 108.95% 66.24% 74.05% 82.15%
FCF margin (%) 40.29% -12.37% 24.51% 34.17% 52.05% 41.47% 42.42% 49.2%
FCF / Net Income (%) 36.02% 60.76% -12.69% -126.75% 47.77% 62.61% 57.28% 59.9%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.13% 1.43% -6.5% -0.98% 4.06% 1.95% 2.15% 2.21%
ROE 9.2% 4.62% 6.36% 1.48% 14.47% 6.38% 6.47% 6.57%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 20.42x 15.73x 16.33x 15.84x 14.3x 13.38x 12.59x 11.98x
Debt / Free cash flow 48.7x -111.09x 52.91x 36.6x 22.52x 27.17x 25.75x 21.59x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 36.94% 78.25% 33.92% 38.09% 70.33% 57.54% 66.09% 63.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 38.44% 89.59% 42.72% 48.22% 85.81% 68.33% 76.19% 71.11%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 91.67% -632.8% 138.39% 111.46% 135.13% 138.75% 155.8% 128.12%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.911 2.644 2.358 2.931 2.867 2.74 2.868 3.013
Change - -9.18% -10.82% 24.3% -2.19% -4.44% 4.68% 5.06%
Dividend per Share 1 1.66 - 0.9 1.22 1.25 1.267 1.332 1.382
Change - - - 35.56% 2.46% 1.37% 5.09% 3.81%
Book Value Per Share 1 42.86 39.37 38.46 29.16 32.38 34.14 43.42 43.25
Change - -8.15% -2.31% -24.18% 11.04% 5.43% 27.19% -0.41%
EPS 1 4.22 -0.82 -7.8 -1.09 4.33 2.545 2.884 2.736
Change - -119.43% -851.22% 86.03% 497.25% -41.23% 13.34% -5.14%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 776,597 795,850 814,645 822,853 848,090 848,425 848,425 848,425
Announcement Date 3/18/22 3/16/23 3/15/24 3/18/25 3/19/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 7.11x 6.28x
PBR 0.53x 0.42x
EV / Sales 15.6x 15.2x
Yield 7% 7.36%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
18.10EUR
Average target price
27.04EUR
Spread / Average Target
+49.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. VNA Stock
  4. Financials Vonovia SE
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