Projected Income Statement: VGP NV

Forecast Balance Sheet: VGP NV

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,159 1,669 1,778 1,565 1,836 2,236 2,405 2,528
Change - 44% 6.53% -11.98% 17.32% 21.79% 7.56% 5.11%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: VGP NV

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 630.3 851.8 667 452.2 641.9 490.6 375.1 366.1
Change - 35.13% -21.69% -32.21% 41.96% -23.56% -23.54% -2.4%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -717.8 -922.4 -35.41 314.4 -591 6.8 88.95 120.4
Change - -28.5% 96.16% 987.97% -287.97% 101.15% 1,208.09% 35.36%
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: VGP NV

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 1,432.88% 16.5% 189.81% 167.76% 183.8% 80.62% 82.09% 87.64%
EBIT Margin (%) 1,416.08% 7.68% 104.44% 150.1% 146.47% 148.04% 149.21% 126.1%
EBT Margin (%) 1,726.13% -168.16% 99.14% 151.24% 136.8% 124.46% 131.58% 124.67%
Net margin (%) 1,468.88% -144.53% 76.76% 135.83% 117.4% 116.27% 123.9% 118.41%
FCF margin (%) -1,622% -1,087.98% -31.14% 148.82% -238.89% 2.57% 30.89% 38.31%
FCF / Net Income (%) -110.42% 752.75% -40.56% 109.56% -203.49% 2.21% 24.93% 32.35%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.48% -2.81% 1.89% 6.33% 5.89% 5.47% 6.49% 6.25%
ROE 34.19% -5.6% 3.95% 12.44% 11.61% 7.97% 7.93% 7.8%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.83x 119.31x 8.24x 4.42x 4.04x 10.48x 10.17x 9.18x
Debt / Free cash flow -1.61x -1.81x -50.21x 4.98x -3.11x 328.85x 27.04x 21x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1,424.35% 1,004.66% 586.53% 214.01% 259.47% 185.32% 130.25% 116.49%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 99.4% 6,089.01% 309% 127.57% 141.17% 229.88% 158.66% 132.91%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -87.81% -92.34% -1,883.74% 143.81% -108.61% 7,215.18% 421.73% 304.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - -3.166 - -0.6211 1.865 -0.6891 -1.057 -1.138
Change - - - - 400.23% -136.95% -53.44% -7.63%
Dividend per Share 1 6.85 2.75 2.95 3.3 3.4 3.594 3.691 3.883
Change - -59.85% 7.27% 11.86% 3.03% 5.72% 2.69% 5.2%
Book Value Per Share 1 99.65 98.7 81.14 87.96 95.3 102.6 115.8 129.3
Change - -0.95% -17.79% 8.41% 8.34% 7.64% 12.89% 11.68%
EPS 1 31.41 -5.49 3.2 10.52 10.64 9.862 11.26 11.64
Change - -117.48% 158.29% 228.75% 1.14% -7.31% 14.22% 3.36%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 21,833 27,291 27,291 27,291 27,291 30,348 30,348 30,348
Announcement Date 2/23/22 2/23/23 2/22/24 2/20/25 2/19/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 8.04x 7.04x
PBR 0.77x 0.68x
EV / Sales 17.5x 16.7x
Yield 4.53% 4.65%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
8
Last Close Price
79.30EUR
Average target price
101.25EUR
Spread / Average Target
+27.68%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise