Projected Income Statement: Valeo SE

Forecast Balance Sheet: Valeo SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 3,481 4,002 4,028 3,813 4,022 3,810 3,539 3,164
Change - 14.97% 0.65% -5.34% 5.48% -5.27% -7.11% -10.6%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Valeo SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,350 1,489 2,001 2,224 1,761 1,846 1,904 1,931
Change - 10.3% 34.39% 11.14% -20.82% 4.81% 3.15% 1.44%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 277 419 461 463 528 432 452.4 519.3
Change - 51.26% 10.02% 0.43% 14.04% -18.18% 4.72% 14.79%
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Valeo SE

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.37% 11.98% 12.01% 13.32% 14.75% 14.58% 14.85% 15.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 4.05% 3.17% 3.8% 4.28% 4.67% 4.98% 5.57% 6.11%
EBT Margin (%) 2.56% 2.54% 2.06% 1.55% 2.2% 2.82% 3.47% 4.03%
Net margin (%) 1.01% 1.15% 1% 0.75% 0.96% 1.43% 1.94% 2.4%
FCF margin (%) 1.6% 2.09% 2.09% 2.15% 2.53% 2.11% 2.15% 2.38%
FCF / Net Income (%) 158.29% 182.17% 208.6% 285.8% 264% 147.48% 110.49% 99.15%

Profitability

        
ROA 0.93% 1.13% 1.01% 0.75% 0.95% 1.27% 1.87% 2.26%
ROE 5.04% 6.12% 5.98% 4.44% 5.68% 8.11% 11.06% 12.72%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.51x 1.67x 1.52x 1.33x 1.3x 1.28x 1.13x 0.96x
Debt / Free cash flow 12.57x 9.55x 8.74x 8.24x 7.62x 8.82x 7.82x 6.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 7.82% 7.43% 9.08% 10.35% 8.43% 9.02% 9.03% 8.85%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 58.49% 62.02% 75.6% 77.68% 57.14% 61.89% 60.84% 58.56%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 487.36% 355.37% 434.06% 480.35% 333.52% 427.26% 420.84% 371.91%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 6.659 7.836 10.06 10.98 9.32 10.09 10.64 11.21
Change - 17.67% 28.44% 9.14% -15.15% 8.25% 5.5% 5.33%
Dividend per Share 1 0.35 0.38 0.4 0.42 0.42 0.5103 0.6067 0.6973
Change - 8.57% 5.26% 5% 0% 21.5% 18.89% 14.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.29 15.85 14.72 15.31 13.52 15.91 17.43 19.47
Change - 3.7% -7.16% 4.01% -11.66% 17.64% 9.6% 11.69%
EPS 1 0.72 0.95 0.91 0.67 0.82 1.238 1.713 2.192
Change - 31.94% -4.21% -26.37% 22.39% 50.99% 38.33% 27.98%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 241,678 240,821 242,772 242,827 244,433 241,515 241,515 241,515
Announcement Date 2/25/22 2/23/23 2/29/24 2/27/25 2/26/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 11.1x 8.05x
PBR 0.87x 0.79x
EV / Sales 0.36x 0.33x
Yield 3.7% 4.4%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
13.79EUR
Average target price
13.86EUR
Spread / Average Target
+0.51%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise