Projected Income Statement: Union Pacific Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 28,723 32,307 31,508 30,156 30,548 26,594 23,326 20,219
Change - 12.48% -2.47% -4.29% 1.3% -12.94% -12.29% -13.32%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/24/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 2,936 3,620 3,606 3,452 3,791 3,376 3,531 3,817
Change - 23.3% -0.39% -4.27% 9.82% -10.96% 4.6% 8.1%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,096 5,742 4,773 5,894 5,499 7,241 7,736 8,172
Change - -5.81% -16.88% 23.49% -6.7% 31.68% 6.83% 5.64%
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/24/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Union Pacific Corporation

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 52.95% 48.9% 47.27% 49.94% 50.23% 50.69% 51.94% 52.68%
EBIT Margin (%) 42.83% 39.87% 37.65% 40.05% 40.17% 40.79% 42.27% 43.41%
EBT Margin (%) 38.88% 36.47% 34.13% 36.26% 37.4% 37.12% 39.28% 40.63%
Net margin (%) 29.92% 28.13% 26.45% 27.82% 29.12% 28.7% 30.04% 31.22%
FCF margin (%) 27.96% 23.08% 19.79% 24.31% 22.44% 27.03% 27.67% 27.93%
FCF / Net Income (%) 93.45% 82.05% 74.82% 87.36% 77.04% 94.18% 92.12% 89.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 10.36% 10.85% 9.62% 10.07% 10.11% 10.67% 10.98% 10.79%
ROE 41.9% 53.17% 47.3% 42.6% 40.4% 36.86% 33.12% 30.4%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.49x 2.66x 2.76x 2.49x 2.48x 1.96x 1.61x 1.31x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.71x 5.63x 6.6x 5.12x 5.56x 3.67x 3.02x 2.47x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 13.47% 14.55% 14.95% 14.24% 15.47% 12.6% 12.63% 13.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 25.43% 29.76% 31.63% 28.5% 30.79% 24.85% 24.31% 24.76%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 48.16% 63.04% 75.55% 58.57% 68.94% 46.62% 45.64% 46.7%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 13.78 15 13.73 15.36 15.65 18 19.07 -
Change - 8.87% -8.47% 11.83% 1.93% 15.01% 5.9% -
Dividend per Share 1 4.29 5.08 5.2 5.28 5.44 5.546 5.719 6.106
Change - 18.41% 2.36% 1.54% 3.03% 1.96% 3.12% 6.76%
Book Value Per Share 1 21.66 19.49 24.23 27.75 30.99 38.52 45.44 53.09
Change - -10.01% 24.33% 14.51% 11.67% 24.3% 17.96% 16.85%
EPS 1 9.95 11.21 10.45 11.09 11.98 12.9 14.08 15.53
Change - 12.66% -6.78% 6.12% 8.03% 7.7% 9.14% 10.29%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 642,876 642,876 609,597 606,257 593,161 594,075 594,075 594,075
Announcement Date 1/20/22 1/24/23 1/25/24 1/23/25 1/27/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 20.9x 19.1x
PBR 7x 5.93x
EV / Sales 6.97x 6.56x
Yield 2.06% 2.12%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
25
Last Close Price
269.63USD
Average target price
329.79USD
Spread / Average Target
+22.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. UNP Stock
  4. Financials Union Pacific Corporation
-40%: Exceptional extension
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