Projected Income Statement: Travis Perkins plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Travis Perkins plc

Forecast Balance Sheet - Travis Perkins plc
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 605 819 922 845 621 544 502 512
Change - 35.37% 12.58% -8.35% -26.51% -12.41% -7.72% 1.99%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 3/5/24 4/1/25 3/17/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Travis Perkins plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 162.5 132.1 64.9 64 60 70 80.38 84.57
Change - -18.71% -50.87% -1.39% -6.25% 16.67% 14.82% 5.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 166.8 124 152.7 109 206 92.19 62.26 72.22
Change - -25.66% 23.15% -28.62% 88.99% -55.25% -32.47% 15.99%
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 3/5/24 4/1/25 3/17/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Travis Perkins plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 11.16% 9.1% 7.33% 7.2% 6.36% 6.3% 6.81% 7.08%
EBIT Margin (%) 7.69% 5.91% 3.71% 3.29% 2.92% 2.75% 3.27% 3.64%
EBT Margin (%) 6.66% 4.91% 1.44% -0.83% -2.95% 1.83% 2.4% 2.99%
Net margin (%) 6.08% 3.85% 0.78% -1.68% -3.86% 1.2% 1.57% 1.91%
FCF margin (%) 3.64% 2.48% 3.14% 2.37% 4.51% 2.03% 1.32% 1.48%
FCF / Net Income (%) 59.81% 64.52% 400.79% -140.83% -116.85% 170.05% 83.97% 77.25%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.32% 4.5% 0.93% 1.92% 1.66% 1.47% 1.94% 2.29%
ROE 11.27% 8.86% 1.84% 3.85% 3.48% 3.16% 4.29% 5.05%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.18x 1.8x 2.59x 2.55x 2.14x 1.9x 1.57x 1.48x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.62x 6.6x 6.04x 7.75x 3.02x 5.9x 8.07x 7.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.54% 2.64% 1.33% 1.39% 1.31% 1.54% 1.71% 1.73%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.76% 29.07% 18.21% 19.28% 20.65% 24.5% 25.05% 24.45%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 97.42% 106.53% 42.5% 58.72% 29.13% 75.93% 129.09% 117.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.403 1.189 1.016 1.035 1.886 0.9392 0.7913 0.9012
Change - -15.26% -14.53% 1.9% 82.1% -50.19% -15.76% 13.9%
Dividend per Share 1 0.38 0.39 0.18 0.145 0.12 0.1206 0.1519 0.181
Change - 2.63% -53.85% -19.44% -17.24% 0.48% 25.95% 19.18%
Book Value Per Share 1 10.1 9.933 9.691 9.351 8.247 8.438 8.601 8.833
Change - -1.68% -2.44% -3.51% -11.81% 2.31% 1.93% 2.7%
EPS 1 1.188 0.892 0.178 -0.366 -0.833 0.2596 0.3617 0.4621
Change - -24.92% -80.04% -305.62% -127.6% 131.16% 39.34% 27.74%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 218,933 210,029 210,003 210,861 211,317 211,840 211,840 211,840
Announcement Date 3/1/22 2/28/23 3/5/24 4/1/25 3/17/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 23.6x 16.9x
PBR 0.73x 0.71x
EV / Sales 0.41x 0.38x
Yield 1.97% 2.48%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - Travis Perkins plc


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - Travis Perkins plc
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - Travis Perkins plc
Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
MarketScreener Ratings - Travis Perkins plc
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
16
Last Close Price
6.125GBP
Average target price
6.726GBP
Spread / Average Target
+9.81%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - Travis Perkins plc
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