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End-of-day quote
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 3,270.00 MXN | -1.68% |
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+3.28% | -13.95% |
| 10:53pm | Toyota Lifts Fiscal 2027 Consolidated Vehicle Sales Forecast, Keeps Retail Sales Outlook Unchanged | MT |
| 08-05 | India auto lobby withdraws warning on ethanol fuel damage to revise numbers | RE |
Company Valuation: Toyota Motor Corporation
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: March | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 | 2029 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 30,631,613 | 25,502,542 | 51,110,075 | 34,171,258 | 41,211,569 | 34,513,024 | - | - |
| Change | - | -16.74% | 100.41% | -33.14% | 20.6% | -16.25% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 51,014,316 | 47,365,849 | 78,259,795 | 57,045,974 | 71,757,416 | 62,987,641 | 66,735,999 | 66,129,142 |
| Change | - | -7.15% | 65.22% | -27.11% | 25.79% | -12.22% | 5.95% | -0.91% |
| P/E | 10.8x | 10.5x | 10.4x | 7.28x | 10.7x | 9.69x | 8.47x | 7.69x |
| PBR | 1.17x | 0.9x | 1.49x | 0.95x | 1.03x | 0.88x | 0.83x | 0.77x |
| PEG | - | -0.8x | 0x | -4.18x | -0.6x | 5.18x | 0.6x | 0.8x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.98x | 0.69x | 1.13x | 0.71x | 0.81x | 0.64x | 0.62x | 0.61x |
| EV / Revenue | 1.63x | 1.27x | 1.74x | 1.19x | 1.42x | 1.17x | 1.21x | 1.16x |
| EV / EBITDA | 12.7x | 9.94x | 10.5x | 9.27x | 13.8x | 10.7x | 10.3x | 9.79x |
| EV / EBIT | 17x | 17.4x | 14.6x | 11.9x | 19.1x | 15.6x | 14.6x | 13.3x |
| EV / FCF | 16.2x | 31.5x | 33.2x | 36.5x | 23.3x | 29.4x | 28.3x | 26.2x |
| FCF Yield | 6.17% | 3.18% | 3.02% | 2.74% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.53% | 3.82% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 52 | 60 | 75 | 90 | 95 | 102.4 | 115.4 | 126.5 |
| Rate of return | 2.34% | 3.19% | 1.98% | 3.44% | 3% | 3.51% | 3.96% | 4.34% |
| EPS 2 | 205.2 | 179.5 | 365.9 | 359.6 | 295.2 | 300.8 | 344 | 379 |
| Distribution rate | 25.3% | 33.4% | 20.5% | 25% | 32.2% | 34% | 33.6% | 33.4% |
| Net sales 1 | 31,379,507 | 37,154,298 | 45,095,325 | 48,036,704 | 50,684,952 | 53,660,427 | 55,287,645 | 56,920,496 |
| EBITDA 1 | 4,002,897 | 4,764,929 | 7,440,000 | 6,156,086 | 5,185,116 | 5,880,741 | 6,467,277 | 6,754,065 |
| EBIT 1 | 2,995,697 | 2,725,025 | 5,352,934 | 4,795,586 | 3,766,216 | 4,029,450 | 4,579,113 | 4,957,546 |
| Net income 1 | 2,850,110 | 2,451,318 | 4,944,933 | 4,765,086 | 3,848,098 | 3,635,172 | 4,086,939 | 4,387,347 |
| Net Debt 1 | 20,382,703 | 21,863,307 | 27,149,720 | 22,874,716 | 30,545,847 | 28,474,616 | 32,222,975 | 31,616,118 |
| Reference price 2 | 2,222.50 | 1,880.00 | 3,792.00 | 2,616.00 | 3,162.00 | 2,914.50 | 2,914.50 | 2,914.50 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 13,782,503 | 13,565,182 | 13,478,395 | 13,062,407 | 13,033,387 | 11,841,834 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 5/11/22 | 5/10/23 | 5/8/24 | 5/8/25 | 5/8/26 | - | - | - |
1JPY in Million2JPY
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (N) | EV / Sales (N) | EV / EBITDA (N) | Dividend Yield (N) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.3x | 0.39x | 3.15x | 0.8% | 78.23B | ||
| 9.63x | 1.3x | 14.4x | 2.8% | 66.14B | ||
| 17.84x | 0.32x | 4.09x | 4.23% | 56.34B | ||
| 8.84x | 0.12x | 1.16x | 6.72% | 50.47B | ||
| 23.71x | 1.3x | 7.25x | 2.4% | 45.74B | ||
| 4.19x | 0x | 0x | 7.08% | 44.21B | ||
| 8.84x | -0.07x | -0.55x | 4.16% | 40.87B | ||
| 25.16x | 2.13x | 16.13x | 1% | 40.61B | ||
| 12.28x | 0.61x | 8.11x | 4.34% | 40.42B | ||
| Average | 13.20x | 0.68x | 5.97x | 3.73% | 51.45B | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 12.71x | 0.67x | 6.00x | 3.53% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- Valuation Toyota Motor Corporation
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