Projected Income Statement: Tokyu Corporation

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tokyu Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 1,143,481 1,218,177 1,212,175 1,229,591 1,301,200 1,314,426 1,338,829 1,360,505
Change - 6.53% -0.49% 1.44% 5.82% 1.02% 1.86% 1.62%
Announcement Date 5/13/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/14/25 5/12/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tokyu Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 110,397 157,677 113,155 126,366 179,996 167,250 184,400 185,400
Change - 42.83% -28.24% 11.68% 42.44% -7.08% 10.25% 0.54%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,767 -59,027 44,334 28,738 -52,249 -11,596 18,931 19,072
Change - -972.28% 175.11% -35.18% -281.81% 77.81% 263.25% 0.74%
Announcement Date 5/13/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/14/25 5/12/26 - - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tokyu Corporation

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.16% 13.7% 17.5% 18.01% 17.65% 17.89% 18.23% 18.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 3.59% 4.79% 9.14% 9.8% 9.5% 9.64% 9.87% 9.99%
EBT Margin (%) 3.07% 4.44% 9.09% 10.17% 10.05% 9.77% 10.38% 10.46%
Net margin (%) 1% 2.79% 6.14% 7.55% 8.02% 8% 8% 7.97%
FCF margin (%) 0.77% -6.34% 4.27% 2.72% -4.81% -1.02% 1.64% 1.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 77.06% -227.07% 69.53% 36.1% -60.01% -12.77% 20.5% 20.3%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.41% 1.86% 3.77% 4.03% 4.13% 3.29% 3.18% 3.17%
ROE 1.2% 3.6% 8.3% 9.8% 10% 9.74% 9.29% 8.89%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 9.88x 9.55x 6.67x 6.47x 6.79x 6.47x 6.36x 6.25x
Debt / Free cash flow 168.98x -20.64x 27.34x 42.79x -24.9x -113.35x 70.72x 71.34x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.56% 16.93% 10.9% 11.98% 16.57% 14.73% 15.97% 15.74%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 95.39% 123.59% 62.31% 66.51% 93.89% 82.31% 87.59% 85.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 1,631.4% -267.13% 255.23% 439.72% -344.5% -1,442.31% 974.06% 972.13%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 154.4 180 249.8 281.2 307.1 332.2 342.9 361.8
Change - 16.59% 38.8% 12.57% 9.19% 8.17% 3.22% 5.53%
Dividend per Share 1 15 15 17.5 24 30 32.25 34.43 36.67
Change - 0% 16.67% 37.14% 25% 7.5% 6.76% 6.5%
Book Value Per Share 1 1,167 1,205 1,317 1,441 1,602 1,679 1,807 1,934
Change - 3.24% 9.33% 9.39% 11.15% 4.84% 7.6% 7.02%
EPS 1 14.58 42.94 105.8 134.8 152.2 160.2 165.2 170.9
Change - 194.51% 146.48% 27.37% 12.94% 5.23% 3.1% 3.44%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 602,131 602,978 598,946 580,383 570,821 564,271 564,271 564,271
Announcement Date 5/13/22 5/11/23 5/13/24 5/14/25 5/12/26 - - -
1JPY
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E 10.4x 10.1x
PBR 0.99x 0.92x
EV / Sales 1.98x 1.97x
Yield 1.94% 2.07%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
1,662.50JPY
Average target price
2,070.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+24.51%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 9005 Stock
  4. Financials Tokyu Corporation