Projected Income Statement: TOKAI Corp.

Forecast Balance Sheet: TOKAI Corp.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -32,119 -33,436 -34,698 -29,861 -24,742 -21,903 -19,971 -22,058
Change - -4.1% -3.77% 13.94% 17.14% 11.47% -10.86% -10.45%
Announcement Date 5/7/21 5/9/22 5/11/23 5/10/24 5/9/25 5/12/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: TOKAI Corp.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,414 4,722 6,474 9,257 4,426 4,018 5,870 5,315
Change - 38.31% 37.1% 42.99% -52.19% -9.22% 31.78% -9.45%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 5,815 3,395 2,356 -1,221 5,670 7,209 9,003 5,461
Change - -41.62% -30.6% -151.83% 564.37% 27.14% -16.47% -39.34%
Announcement Date 5/7/21 5/9/22 5/11/23 5/10/24 5/9/25 5/12/26 - -
1JPY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: TOKAI Corp.

Fiscal Period: March 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.27% 9.88% 9.33% 9.23% 8.89% 9.1% 8.58% 8.6%
EBIT Margin (%) 6.18% 6.68% 6.03% 5.85% 5.49% 5.88% 5.44% 5.61%
EBT Margin (%) 6.73% 7% 6.87% 6.1% 4.92% 5.89% 5.73% 5.84%
Net margin (%) 4.64% 4.7% 4.69% 4.2% 3.16% 3.8% 3.69% 3.85%
FCF margin (%) 4.93% 2.75% 1.81% -0.88% 3.79% 4.52% 5.39% 3.22%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.09% 58.47% 38.58% -21.02% 119.8% 118.78% 146.08% 83.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 8.08% 8.53% 7.46% 7.54% 7.72% 8.83% 8.4% 8.6%
ROE 7.7% 7.7% 7.7% 6.9% 5.5% 7.2% 6.9% 7.15%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 2.89% 3.82% 4.97% 6.7% 2.96% 2.52% 3.52% 3.13%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 31.21% 38.69% 53.31% 72.54% 33.29% 27.67% 41% 36.47%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 58.71% 139.09% 274.79% -758.15% 78.06% 55.74% 65.2% 97.33%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 253.7 273.8 292.3 295.6 281.6 331.8 367.2 390.1
Change - 7.91% 6.75% 1.12% -4.74% 17.86% 5.7% 6.24%
Dividend per Share 1 30 42 60 58 58 68 80 76
Change - 40% 42.86% -3.33% 0% 17.24% 17.65% -5%
Book Value Per Share 1 2,065 2,187 2,318 2,448 2,519 2,711 3,047 3,088
Change - 5.92% 5.98% 5.6% 2.9% 7.62% 9.31% 1.35%
EPS 1 154 164.4 173.4 165 139.1 185.6 199.5 217.3
Change - 6.79% 5.46% -4.81% -15.73% 33.45% 6.29% 8.92%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 35,581 35,206 35,227 35,207 33,820 30,885 30,885 30,885
Announcement Date 5/7/21 5/9/22 5/11/23 5/10/24 5/9/25 5/12/26 - -
1JPY
Estimates
2026 2027 *
P/E 13.2x 11.6x
PBR 0.91x 0.76x
EV / Sales 0.34x 0.31x
Yield 2.77% 3.46%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
2
Last Close Price
2,314.00JPY
Average target price
2,792.00JPY
Spread / Average Target
+20.66%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 9729 Stock
  4. Financials TOKAI Corp.
-40%: Exceptional extension
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