Projected Income Statement: Thai Beverage

Forecast Balance Sheet: Thai Beverage

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 185,323 160,414 163,530 186,597 183,534 165,527 151,967 141,609
Change - -13.44% 1.94% 14.11% -1.64% -9.81% -8.19% -6.82%
Announcement Date 11/26/21 11/25/22 11/22/23 11/21/24 11/25/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Thai Beverage

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,377 3,333 4,684 8,969 12,998 11,239 10,049 10,927
Change - -1.28% 40.5% 91.5% 44.93% -13.54% -10.59% 8.74%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 28,691 41,679 27,287 29,110 33,035 44,427 38,485 40,470
Change - 45.27% -34.53% 6.68% 13.48% 34.49% -13.37% 5.16%
Announcement Date 11/26/21 11/25/22 11/22/23 11/21/24 11/25/25 - - -
1THB in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Thai Beverage

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 17.3% 17.02% 15.76% 16.48% 16.25% 16.44% 16.18% 16.19%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.04% 14.17% 12.98% 13.48% 13.15% 13.35% 13.13% 13.31%
EBT Margin (%) 13.29% 14.66% 13.05% 12.64% 11.46% 12.09% 12.3% 12.55%
Net margin (%) 10.25% 11.05% 9.83% 8% 7.61% 8.07% 8.29% 8.45%
FCF margin (%) 11.93% 15.3% 9.78% 8.55% 9.91% 13.23% 11.04% 11.24%
FCF / Net Income (%) 116.42% 138.44% 99.47% 106.96% 130.26% 163.86% 133.14% 133.04%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.44% 6.14% 5.47% 5.33% 4.89% 5.33% 5.59% 5.81%
ROE 15.72% 15.98% 13.48% 15.53% 17.46% 18.19% 17.88% 17.29%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 4.45x 3.46x 3.72x 3.33x 3.39x 3x 2.7x 2.43x
Debt / Free cash flow 6.46x 3.85x 5.99x 6.41x 5.56x 3.73x 3.95x 3.5x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.4% 1.22% 1.68% 2.64% 3.9% 3.35% 2.88% 3.04%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 8.11% 7.19% 10.65% 16% 24% 20.36% 17.82% 18.75%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 11.77% 8% 17.16% 30.81% 39.35% 25.3% 26.11% 27%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.276 1.791 1.272 1.516 1.832 1.642 1.625 1.685
Change - 40.35% -28.97% 19.1% 20.87% -10.37% -1.05% 3.7%
Dividend per Share 1 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.62 0.62 0.6182 0.6442 0.667
Change - 20% 0% 3.33% 0% -0.3% 4.21% 3.54%
Book Value Per Share 1 6.806 8.19 8.013 5.938 5.622 6.05 6.526 7.019
Change - 20.34% -2.17% -25.89% -5.32% 7.61% 7.87% 7.54%
EPS 1 0.98 1.2 1.09 1.08 1.01 1.062 1.138 1.197
Change - 22.45% -9.17% -0.92% -6.48% 5.17% 7.11% 5.22%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 25,118,755 25,120,888 25,124,754 25,127,675 25,130,487 25,131,686 25,131,686 25,131,686
Announcement Date 11/26/21 11/25/22 11/22/23 11/21/24 11/25/25 - - -
1THB
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.5x 9.82x
PBR 1.85x 1.71x
EV / Sales 1.33x 1.24x
Yield 5.54% 5.77%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
11.17THB
Average target price
13.41THB
Spread / Average Target
+20.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise