Projected Income Statement: Tele2

Forecast Balance Sheet: Tele2

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 29,681 31,108 29,968 30,333 29,080 27,272 27,942 29,324
Change - 4.81% -3.66% 1.22% -4.13% -6.22% 2.46% 4.95%
Announcement Date 2/1/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 1/28/25 1/28/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Tele2

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 3,327 3,561 4,053 3,972 3,693 3,388 3,284 3,355
Change - 7.03% 13.82% -2% -7.02% -8.27% -3.06% 2.17%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 6,970 4,689 5,960 5,806 7,650 9,573 8,901 9,158
Change - -32.73% 27.11% -2.58% 31.76% 25.14% -7.01% 2.88%
Announcement Date 2/1/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 1/28/25 1/28/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Tele2

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 40.69% 40.55% 40.84% 41.07% 44.82% 46.27% 46.16% 46.83%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.3% 24.52% 19.71% 19.66% 22.13% 37.59% 25.9% 27.17%
EBT Margin (%) 16.08% 21.02% 15.73% 16.05% 19% 38.64% 22.91% 24.44%
Net margin (%) 16.07% 19.83% 12.84% 13.08% 15.35% 34.45% 18.34% 19.35%
FCF margin (%) 26.02% 16.69% 20.48% 19.63% 25.59% 31.54% 28.73% 29.02%
FCF / Net Income (%) 161.87% 84.12% 159.57% 150.03% 166.78% 91.55% 156.67% 149.96%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.75% 7.86% 5.59% 5.96% 7.21% 7.5% 8.38% 8.65%
ROE 13.48% 20.33% 16.08% 17.25% 20.68% 38.83% 24.02% 27.07%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.72x 2.73x 2.52x 2.5x 2.17x 1.94x 1.95x 1.98x
Debt / Free cash flow 4.26x 6.63x 5.03x 5.22x 3.8x 2.85x 3.14x 3.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 12.42% 12.67% 13.93% 13.43% 12.36% 11.16% 10.6% 10.63%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 30.52% 31.25% 34.1% 32.69% 27.57% 24.12% 22.96% 22.71%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 47.73% 75.94% 68% 68.41% 48.27% 35.39% 36.89% 36.64%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 14.85 11.88 14.39 14.04 16.28 16.7 15.37 15.78
Change - -20.01% 21.15% -2.48% 15.95% 2.6% -7.97% 2.7%
Dividend per Share 1 6.75 19.8 6.9 6.35 10.5 11.22 11.28 12.57
Change - 193.33% -65.15% -7.97% 65.35% 6.89% 0.52% 11.42%
Book Value Per Share 1 45.14 34.27 32.94 31.91 32.11 34.3 31.39 28.64
Change - -24.07% -3.9% -3.1% 0.6% 6.82% -8.49% -8.73%
EPS 1 6.21 8.03 5.37 5.56 6.58 14.96 8.3 9.144
Change - 29.31% -33.13% 3.54% 18.35% 127.43% -44.53% 10.17%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 688,651 689,909 691,633 691,933 693,390 694,578 694,578 694,578
Announcement Date 2/1/22 1/31/23 1/30/24 1/28/25 1/28/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 10.5x 19x
PBR 4.6x 5.03x
EV / Sales 4.51x 4.44x
Yield 7.11% 7.15%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
19
Last Close Price
161.35SEK
Average target price
178.09SEK
Spread / Average Target
+10.37%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise